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Stanford Closer Look

The Artificially Intelligent Boardroom

David F. Larcker, Amit Seru, Brian Tayan, Laurie Yoler
Stanford Closer Look Series Corporate Governance Research Initiative March2025

Artificial intelligence has the potential to significantly transform boardroom practices — but perhaps in different ways than is commonly recognized. Four areas in particular are poised for impact, including how boards function, how boards…

Journal Article

The Decline of Too Big to Fail

Antje Berndt, Darrell Duffie, Yichao Zhu
American Economic Review March2025 Vol. 115 Issue 3 Pages 945–974.

For globally systemically important banks (GSIBs) with US headquarters, we find significant reductions in market-implied probabilities of government bailout after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), along with roughly 170% higher wholesale debt…

Journal Article

Culture & Personality: Five Expert Visions

Hyewon Choi, Michele J. Gelfand, Ying-yi Hong, Shigehiro Oishi, Jason Rentfrow, Gerard Saucier, Veronica Benet-Martinez
Personality Science February132025 Vol. 6

Research on culture and personality has greatly enhanced personality science by bringing attention to the bidirectional processes by which socio-cultural factors shape personality and individuals in turn shape their social environments to fit and…

Journal Article

Ambition as a Doubled-Edged Sword: Career Success and Unethical Behavior

Charles A. O’Reilly, Jeffrey Pfeffer
Personality and Individual Differences February2025 Vol. 233

Ambition, an individual trait that we show to be empirically distinct from the Big Five dimensions of personality, has been under theorized and researched as an important determinant of both career success and unethical behavior. We…

Journal Article

Asking About Complex Policies

Stephen Jessee, Neil Malhotra, Maya Sen
Public Opinion Quarterly February2025

As political issues have increased in complexity, public opinion researchers increasingly ask respondents about sophisticated political topics that may require substantive knowledge and analytic skills, raising concerns about survey satisficing.…

Journal Article

Bank Funding Risk, Reference Rates, and Credit Supply

Harry Cooperman, Darrell Duffie, Stephan Luck, Zachry Wang, Yilin (David) Yang
The Journal of Finance February2025 Pages 5–56.

Corporate credit lines are drawn more heavily when funding markets are more stressed. This covariance elevates expected bank funding costs. We show that credit supply is inefficiently dampened by the associated debt-overhang cost to bank…

Journal Article

Creditor Control Rights and Executive Bonus Plans

Christopher S. Armstrong, John D. Kepler, Chongho Kim, David Tsui
Review of Accounting Studies February2025

We study the extent to which creditors shape the executive bonus plans of their financially distressed borrowers. Financial distress can exacerbate agency conflicts between creditors and borrowers as concerns with underinvestment become more…

Journal Article

Financial Market Exposure Increases Generalized Trust

Saumitra Jha, Moses Shayo, Chagai Weiss
Journal of Public Economics February2025 Vol. 242

How can we build trust, especially in polarized societies? We propose that exposure to broad financial markets—where individuals place their assets in the hands of large groups of unfamiliar agents who nonetheless have the incentive and ability…

Journal Article

Four Facts About ESG Beliefs and Investor Portfolios

Stefano Giglio, Matteo Maggiori, Johannes Stroebel, Zhenhao Tan, Stephen Utkus, Xiao Xu
Journal of Financial Economics February2025 Vol. 164

We analyze survey data on ESG beliefs and preferences in a large panel of retail investors linked to administrative data on their investment portfolios. The survey elicits investors’ expectations of long-term ESG equity returns and asks about…

Working Paper

Judicial Proficiency and Contract Design: The Role of Business Courts in Shaping Supply Contracts

Christopher S. Armstrong, Sterling Huang, Yanping Xu
February2025

We examine whether access to specialized business courts that are more proficient in resolving contractual disputes influences the design of firms’ supply contracts. We use the staggered creation of these courts in different states at different…

Journal Article

Noise-Induced Randomization in Regression Discontinuity Designs

Dean v, Nikolaos Ignatiadis, Stefan Wager, Han Wu
Biometrika February2025 Vol. 112 Issue 2

Regression discontinuity designs assess causal effects in settings where treatment is determined by whether an observed running variable crosses a prespecified threshold. Here, we propose a new approach to identification, estimation and inference…

Journal Article

Reserves Were Not So Ample after All

Adam Copeland, Darrell Duffie
Quarterly Journal of Economics February2025 Vol. 140 Issue 2 Pages 239–281.

The Federal Reserve’s “balance-sheet normalization,” which reduced aggregate reserves between 2017 and September 2019, increased repo rate distortions, the severity of rate spikes, and intraday payment timing stresses, culminating with a…

Journal Article

The Impact of Impact Investing

Jonathan B. Berk, Jules H. van Binsbergen
Journal of Financial Economics February2025 Vol. 164

The change in the cost of capital that results from a divestiture strategy can be closely approximated by a simple function of three parameters: (1) the fraction of socially conscious capital, (2) the fraction of targeted firms in the economy and…

Working Paper

The Pass-through of Corporate Tax Cuts to Consumer Loans: Evidence from the TCJA

Joao Granja, Fabian Nagel, Arndt Weinrich
January312025

Using data from TransUnion, a large U.S. credit bureau, we analyze whether and how cuts in bank income taxation are passed through to the interest rates and size of consumer loans. Exploiting the change in bank corporate income taxation from the…

Journal Article

Developing ICU Clinical Behavioral Atlas Using Ambient Intelligence and Computer Vision

Wei Dai, Ehsan Adeli, Zelun Luo, Dev Dash, Shrinidhi Lakshmikanth, Zane Durante, Paul Tang, Amit Kaushal, Arnold Milstein, Li Fei-Fei, Kevin A. Schulman
NEJM AI January212025 Vol. 2 Issue 2

While computer vision has gained traction in medical applications, models specifically engineered for intensive care unit (ICU) activities are limited.

We present Clinical Behavioral Atlas (CBA), a computer vision system that can identify…

Working Paper

Losing is Optional: Retail Option Trading and Expected Announcement Volatility

Tim de Silva, Eric C. So, Kevin Smith
January152025

We document the growth of retail options trading and provide evidence that retail investors are drawn to options by anticipated spikes in volatility. Retail investors purchase options in a concentrated fashion before earnings announcements,…

Working Paper

Public Firm Disclosures, Patent Licensing, and the Diffusion of Technology

Jinhwan Kim, Guoman She, Kristen Valentine
January152025

We examine the spillover effects of public firm disclosures on patent licensing, a key mechanism for technology diffusion. An interquartile increase in public firm presence, our proxy for peer disclosures, is linked to a 20.7% higher likelihood…

Journal Article

Trading Stocks Builds Financial Confidence and Compresses the Gender Gap

Saumitra Jha, Moses Shayo
Economic Journal January52025 Vol. 135 Issue 665 Pages 235–263.

Many studies document low rates of financial literacy and suboptimal levels of participation in financial markets. These issues are particularly acute among women. Does this reflect a self-reinforcing trap? If so, can a nudge to participate in…

Journal Article

Addressing Health Care’s Administrative Cost Crisis

Brooke Istvan, Kevin A. Schulman, Stefanos Zenios
JAMA January2025

Tackling administrative waste in the health care system presents a perfect opportunity for a second Trump administration that is focused on achieving efficiencies in the federal government and alleviating the pain that inflation has caused on the…

Book Chapter

Collecting Digital Footprints in the Wild

Michal Kosinski
Handbook of Research Methods in Social and Personality Psychology, 3rd Ed. (in press) Cambridge University Press January2025 Pages 349–377.