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Accounting Quality and the Transmission of Monetary Policy
We examine how firms’ accounting quality affects their reaction to monetary policy. The balance sheet channel of monetary transmission emphasizes the role of information asymmetry between firms and capital providers in propagating the…
Online Inference for Advertising Auctions
Advertisers that engage in real-time bidding (RTB) to display their ads commonly have two goals: learning their optimal bidding policy and estimating the expected effect of exposing users to their ads. Typical strategies to accomplish one of…
Mind the Gap in Sovereign Debt Markets: The U.S. Treasury basis and the Dollar Risk Factor
Prepared for the 2019 Jackson Hole Symposium hosted by the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank.
The U.S. dollar exchange rate clears the global market for dollar-denominated safe assets. We find that shifts in the demand and supply…
Active Funds and Bundled News
We use trade-level data to examine the role of actively managed funds (AMFs) in earnings news dissemination. AMFs trade 170 percent more on earnings announcement (EA) days than on non-EA days. Abnormal AMF participation is…
Conceit and Deceit: Lying, Cheating and Stealing Among Grandiose Narcissists
Organizational researchers have become increasingly concerned with the potentially destructive consequences of narcissistic leadership. Evidence indicates that grandiose narcissists both aspire to and frequently achieve leadership roles in…
Consumers’ Suggestions for Improving the Mental Healthcare System: Options, Autonomy, and Respect
While the mental healthcare-consumer voice has gained in legitimacy and perceived value, policy initiatives and system improvements still lack input from consumers. This study explores consumers’ suggestions for improving the mental healthcare…
How Market Design Emerged from Game Theory: A Mutual Interview
We interview each other about how game theory and mechanism design evolved into practical market design. When we learned game theory, games were modeled either in terms of the strategies available to the players (“noncooperative games”) or the…
Loan Portfolio Risk and Capital Adequacy: A New Approach to Evaluating the Riskiness of Banks
We develop a Loan Portfolio Risk (LPR) variable that measures time-varying volatility in default risk for a portfolio of bank loans. An Equity-to-LPR ratio (ELPR) is incrementally important in predicting bank…
Machine Learning Methods That Economists Should Know About
We discuss the relevance of the recent machine learning literature for economics and econometrics. First we discuss the differences in goals, methods, and settings between the ML literature and the traditional econometrics and statistics…
Nonrivalry and the Economics of Data
Data is nonrival: a person’s location history, medical records, and driving data can be used by any number of firms simultaneously. Nonrivalry leads to increasing returns and implies an important role for market structure and property rights. Who…
Presidential Address: Collateral and Commitment
Optimal dynamic capital structure choice is fundamentally a problem of commitment. In a standard trade‐off setting with shareholder‐debtholder agency conflicts, full commitment counterfactually predicts the firm would rely almost exclusively on…
Procurement Mechanisms for Assortments of Differentiated Products
Part of thesis finalist of 2015 INFORMS George Dantzig Dissertation Award. Second place 2015 M&SOM Student Paper Competition
Problem definition: We consider the problem faced by a procurement agency that runs…
Race Influences Professional Investors’ Financial Judgments
Of the $69.1 trillion global financial assets under management across mutual funds, hedge funds, real estate, and private equity, fewer than 1.3% are managed by women and people of color. Why is this powerful, elite industry so racially…
Resolving Attacker-Defender Conflicts through Intergroup Negotiation
The target article focuses on how attacker-defender conflicts are fought. This commentary complements it by considering how attacker-defender conflicts may be resolved at the bargaining table. I highlight multiple linkages between…
Sensing the Next Game Changer: Organizational Architecture, Cognition and Adaptation to Environmental Change
This study builds a theory of collective sensemaking in the face of environmental change. Our arguments build upon a well-known observation about the division of labor, which typically turns organizations into “nearly decomposable” systems of…
Sufficient Representations for Categorical Variables
Many learning algorithms require categorical data to be transformed into real vectors before it can be used as input. Often, categorical variables are encoded as one-hot (or dummy) vectors. However, this mode of representation can be…
Targeted Identity-Safety Interventions Cause Lasting Reductions in Discipline Citations Among Negatively Stereotyped Boys
High rates of discipline citations predict adverse life outcomes, a harm disproportionately borne by Black and Latino boys. We hypothesized that these citations arise in part from negative cycles of interaction between students and teachers,…
The Parade of Bankers’ New Clothes Continues: 34 Flawed Claims Debunked
The debate on banking regulation has been dominated by flawed and misleading claims. The title of our book The Bankers New Clothes: What’s Wrong with Banking and What to Do About It (Princeton University Press, 2013, see bankersnewclothes.com)…
The Role of Executive Cash Bonuses in Providing Individual and Team Incentives
Given CEOs’ substantial equity portfolios, much recent literature on CEO incentives regards cash-based bonus plans as largely irrelevant, begging the question of why nearly all CEO compensation plans include such bonuses. We develop a new measure…
When ‘Me’ Trumps ‘We’: Narcissistic Leaders and the Cultures They Create
Research has shown that organizational culture can affect firm performance and that a leader’s personality can affect organizational culture. We examine how a leader’s level of narcissism affects two fundamental aspects of organizational culture…