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Stanford Closer Look

Scoundrels in the C-Suite: How Should the Board Respond When a CEO’s Bad Behavior Makes the News?

David F. Larcker, Brian Tayan
Stanford Closer Look Series Corporate Governance Research Initiative May2016

The board of directors has a responsibility to investigate credible allegations that management has engaged in activity that is not in the interest of the company or its shareholders. In the case of illegal activity, the appropriate response is…

Other Publication

Systemic Effects of Campaign Spending: Evidence from Corporate Contribution Bans in U.S. State Legislatures

Andrew B. Hall
Political Science Research and Methods May2016 Vol. 4 Issue 2 Pages 343–359.

In this paper, I examine the systemic effects of campaign spending, looking at outcomes at the level of the legislature rather than the individual seat. Using a difference-in-differences design, I show that state-level corporate campaign…

Working Paper

Technological Innovation, Resource Allocation, and Growth

Leonid Kogan, Demitris Papanikolaou, Amit Seru, Noah Stoffman
May2016

We propose a new measure of the economic importance of each innovation. Our measure uses newly collected data on patents issued to US firms in the 1926 to 2010 period, combined with the stock market response to news about patents. Our patent-…

Working Paper

The Non-Consensus Entrepreneur: Organizational Responses to Vital Events

Elizabeth Pontikes, William P. Barnett
May2016

Salient successes and failures, such as spectacular venture capital investments or agonizing bankruptcies, affect consensus beliefs about the viability of particular markets. We argue that collective sense making in the wake of such vital events…

Journal Article

What Makes U.S. Government Bonds Safe Assets?

Zhiguo He, Arvind Krishnamurthy, Konstantin Milbradt
American Economic Review May2016 Vol. 106 Issue 5 Pages 519–523.

U.S. government bonds are considered to be the world’s safe store of value, especially during periods of economic turmoil such as the events of 2008. But what makes U.S. government bonds “safe assets?” We highlight coordination among investors,…

Working Paper

Adaptive Concentration of Regression Trees, with Application to Random Forests

Stefan Wager, Guenther Walther
April302016

We study the convergence of the predictive surface of regression trees and forests. To support our analysis we introduce a notion of adaptive concentration for regression trees. This approach breaks tree training into a model selection phase in…

Journal Article

(Mis)perceptions of Partisan Polarization in the American Public

Neil Malhotra, Matthew S. Levendusky
Public Opinion Quarterly April292016 Vol. 80 Pages 378-391.

Few topics in public opinion research have attracted as much attention in recent years as partisan polarization in the American mass public. Yet, there has been considerably less investigation into whether people perceive the electorate to…

Working Paper

A “Pencil-Sharpening” Algorithm for Two Player Stochastic Games with Perfect Monitoring

Dilip Abreu, Benjamin Brooks, Yuliy Sannikov
April282016

We study the subgame perfect equilibria of two player stochastic games with perfect monitoring and geometric discounting. A novel algorithm is developed for calculating the discounted payoffs that can be attained in equilibrium. This algorithm…

Working Paper

Efficient Inference of Average Treatment Effects in High Dimensions via Approximate Residual Balancing

Susan Athey, Guido W. Imbens, Stefan Wager
April252016

There are many studies where researchers are interested in estimating average treatment effects and are willing to rely on the unconfoundedness assumption, which requires that treatment assignment is as good as random conditional on pre-treatment…

Working Paper

The Impact of Consumer Multi-homing on Advertising Markets and Media Competition

Susan Athey, Emilio Calvano, Joshua S. Gans
April202016

We develop a model of advertising markets in an environment where consumers may switch (or “multi-home”) across publishers. Consumer switching generates inefficiency in the process of matching advertisers to consumers, because advertisers may not…

Journal Article

Causal Inference in Accounting Research

Ian D. Gow, David F. Larcker, Peter C. Reiss
Journal of Accounting Reseach April192016 Vol. 54 Issue 2 Pages 477–523.

This paper examines the approaches accounting researchers adopt to draw causal inferences using observational (or nonexperimental) data. The vast majority of accounting research papers draw causal inferences notwithstanding the well-known…

Journal Article

Imperfect Progress: An Objective, Quality Assessment of the Role of User Reviews in Consumer Decision Making

Itamar Simonson
Journal of Consumer Research April192016 Vol. 42 Issue 6 Pages 840-845.

User reviews aggregate word of mouth and often greatly enhance consumers’ ability to estimate product quality. Consumers decide for themselves whether and how to incorporate user reviews with other sources when evaluating options (e.g., a small…

Journal Article

Advertising Competition in Presidential Elections

Brett R. Gordon, Wesley R. Hartmann
Quantitative Marketing and Economics April152016 Pages 1-40.

Presidential candidates purchase advertising based on each state’s potential to tip the election. The structure of the Electoral College concentrates spending in battleground states, such that a majority of voters are ignored. We estimate an…

Stanford Closer Look

Governance Aches and Pains: Is Bad Governance Chronic?

David F. Larcker, Brian Tayan
Stanford Closer Look Series Corporate Governance Research Initiative (CGRI) April142016

Institutional investors pay considerable attention to the quality of a company’s governance. Unfortunately, it is difficult for outside observers to reliably gauge governance quality. Oftentimes, poor governance manifests itself only after…

Working Paper

Governance Aches and Pains: Is Bad Governance Chronic?

David F. Larcker, Brian Tayan
April142016

Institutional investors pay considerable attention to the quality of a company’s governance. Unfortunately, it is difficult for outside observers to reliably gauge governance quality. Oftentimes, poor governance manifests itself only after…

Working Paper

How Important Is Culture? A Second Look at Keller Williams Realty

David F. Larcker, Brian Tayan
April122016

Keller Williams is one of the most successful real estate franchises in the world. The leaders of the company attribute its growth in large part to a cultural model that emphasizes profit sharing, interdependence, and success through the efforts…

Other Publication

Hidden Debt, Hidden Deficits

Joshua D. Rauh
A Hoover Institution Essay Hoover Institution, Stanford University April112016

Most state and local governments in the United States offer retirement benefits to their employees in the form of guaranteed pensions. To fund these promises, the governments contribute taxpayer money to public systems. Even under states’ own…

Working Paper

Selling Failed Banks

Joao Granja, Gregor Matvos, Amit Seru
April102016

We show that the allocation of failed banks in the Great Recession was likely distorted because potential acquirers of these banks were poorly capitalized. We illustrate this phenomenon within a model of auctions with budget constraints. In our…

Other Publication

Sea Breeze Capital (B)

Rob Johnson, Heinrich Liechtenstein, Peter B. Kelly, Lenka Menden
Case no: F-0889-E IESE Business School, University of Navarra April12016

This is part of a case series. In spring 2012, Jordi Alves was facing some tough decisions. A year earlier, after a process that had lasted longer than expected, he had successfully raised the first search fund in Spain. He had then dedicated a…

Stanford Closer Look

CEO Pay at Valeant: Does Extreme Compensation Create Extreme Risk?

David F. Larcker, Brian Tayan
Stanford Closer Look Series Corporate Governance Research Initiative (CGRI) April2016

The litmus test for an effective compensation program is whether it provides “pay for performance.” While the concept of pay for performance is simple, its implementation is not. In particular, boards must consider not only whether a compensation…