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Not Only What but also When - A Theory of Dynamic Voluntary Disclosure
Forthcoming
We examine a dynamic model of voluntary disclosure of multiple pieces of private information. In our model, a manager of a firm who may learn multiple signals over time interacts with a competitive capital market and maximizes…
Operationalizing Financial Covenants
We study the interplay between financial covenants and the operational decisions of a retailer that obtains financing through a secured, inventory-based lending contract. We characterize how leverage affects dynamic inventory decisions, and…
Oppositional Identities and Resource Partitioning: Distillery Ownership in Scotch Whisky, 1826–2009
We build on recent theory and research on the role of categories in resource partitioning. We analyze Scotch whisky making between 1826 and 2009 — a case that seemed initially to fail to conform to the pattern of the beer industry now…
Optimization in Online Content Recommendation Services: Beyond Click-Through Rates
A new class of online services allows internet media sites to direct users from articles they are currently reading to other content they may be interested in. This process creates a “browsing path” along which there is potential for repeated…
Organizational Obsolescence, Drifting Tastes, and Age Dependence in Organizational Life Chances
Various patterns of age dependence in hazards of organizational failure have been documented: liabilities of newness, adolescence, and obsolescence. Prior efforts at providing a unified theory that can accommodate these patterns as special…
Pareto Efficiency in Robust Optimization
This paper formalizes and adapts the well-known concept of Pareto efficiency in the context of the popular robust optimization (RO) methodology for linear optimization problems. We argue that the classical RO paradigm need not produce…
Politicians and the IPO Decision: The impact of pending political promotions on IPO activity in China
Power and Influence at the Top: Social Psychological Perspectives
Queueing with future information
We study an admissions control problem, where a queue with service rate 1−p receives incoming jobs at rate λ∈(1−p,1), and the decision maker is allowed to redirect away jobs up to a rate of p, with the objective of minimizing the time-average…
Remapping the Flow of Funds
The Flow of Funds Accounts are a crucial data source on credit market positions in the U.S. economy. In particular, they combine regulatory data from various sources to produce a consistent set of flow and stock tables in major credit market…
Risking Other People's Money: Gambling, Limited Liability, and Optimal Incentives
We consider optimal incentive contracts when managers can, in addition to shirking or diverting funds, increase short term profits by putting the firm at risk of a low probability “disaster.” To
avoid such risk-taking, investors…
Scaling Up Excellence: Getting to More Without Settling for Less
Scaling Up Excellence shows what it takes to build and uncover pockets of exemplary performance, spread those splendid deeds, and as an organization grows bigger and older — rather than slipping toward mediocrity or worse — recharge it…
Social Psychological Perspectives
Sociology and Strategy
Sociological theory offers many possible contributions to strategic management, although most of these are not widely recognized as such. Sociological ideas about sustainable advantage among firms involve both capability-based and position-based…
Stochastic Multi-Armed-Bandit Problem with Non-stationary Rewards
In a multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem a gambler needs to choose at each round of play one of K arms, each characterized by an unknown reward distribution. Reward realizations are only observed when an arm is selected, and the gambler’s…
Studying Trust Judgments in Real-World Contexts: Challenges and Opportunities
The Compelling Case for Stronger and More Effective Leverage Regulation in Banking
Excessive leverage (indebtedness) in banking endangers the public and distorts the economy. Yet current and proposed regulations only tweak previous regulations that failed to provide financial stability. This paper discusses the forces that have…
The Data Revolution and Economic Analysis
Many believe that “big data” will transform business, government and other aspects of the economy. In this article we discuss how new data may impact economic policy and economic research. Large-scale administrative datasets and proprietary…
The Growth Report Strategies for Sustained Growth and Inclusive Development
Since 1950, 13 economies have grown at an average rate of 7 percent a year or more for 25 years or longer. At that pace of expansion, an economy almost doubles in size every decade. This report is about sustained, high growth of this kind: its…
The Handover in Hong Kong: Impact on Business Formation
Although the 1997 Handover of Hong Kong from the United Kingdom to China ranks among the major political transformations in modern history, its impact on new business formation has not been fully scrutinized.
Theory suggests contradictory…