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Buy Now Pay (Pain?) Later
“Buy Now Pay Later” (BNPL) is a largely unregulated FinTech innovation that provides consumers with easy access to credit for specific retail purchases. The BNPL market is projected to reach $1 trillion by 2025, but we know little about the…
Climate Impacts of Digital Use Supply Chains
Information and communications technology (ICT) has become an indispensable part of our lives. Prior research on climate impact of ICT devices and services mostly makes use of life cycle assessment and energy modeling frameworks focused on…
Contracts and Induced Institutional Change
We study agents’ incentives to form horizontal coalitions before a principal offers vertical contracts. When a vertical contract generates negative externalities on other agents, the agents may collude in order to obtain better deals; when one…
Developing an Individualized Treatment Rule for Veterans with Major Depressive Disorder Using Electronic Health Records
Efforts to develop an individualized treatment rule (ITR) to optimize major depressive disorder (MDD) treatment with antidepressant medication (ADM), psychotherapy, or combined ADM-psychotherapy have been hampered by small samples, small…
Enhancing Customer-Supplier Coordination Through Customer-Managed Inventory
In recent years, there has been an increasing trend in supply chains to employ a “control tower” approach to improve supply chain performance. One such strategy is customer-managed inventory (CMI) in which the customer (the downstream party)…
Evaluating Language Model Agency through Negotiations
We introduce an approach to evaluate language model (LM) agency using negotiation games. This approach better reflects real-world use cases and addresses some of the shortcomings of alternative LM benchmarks. Negotiation games enable us to study…
Getting Monetary Policy Back on Track
Experts in economic policy debate the 2021 surge in inflation, why the Federal Reserve was slow to respond, and whether rule-like policy is the best approach to controlling inflation.
Higher Prices For Some Nontrauma Care Than Non–Trauma Center Hospitals, 2012–18
Rising prices are a major cause of increased health care spending and health insurance premiums in the US. Hospital prices, specifically—for both inpatient and outpatient care—are the largest driver of rising health care spending in the…
Higher Prices For Some Nontrauma Care Than Non–Trauma Center Hospitals, 2012–18
Rising prices are a major cause of increased health care spending and health insurance premiums in the US. Hospital prices, specifically—for both inpatient and outpatient care—are the largest driver of rising health care spending in the…
Large Language Models Know How the Personality of Public Figures Is Perceived by the General Public
We show that people’s perceptions of public figures’ personalities can be accurately predicted from their names’ location in GPT-3’s semantic space. We collected Big Five personality perceptions of 226 public figures from 600 human raters. Cross-…
Proof-of-Concept of a Data-Driven Approach to Estimate the Associations of Comorbid Mental and Physical Disorders with Global Health-Related Disability
Objective
The standard method of generating disorder-specific disability scores has lay raters make rankings between pairs of disorders based on brief disorder vignettes. This method introduces bias due to differential rater knowledge of…
Social Norm Change: Drivers and Consequences
Social norms research is booming. In recent years, several experts have recommended using social norms (unwritten rules that prescribe what people ought or ought not to do) to confront the societal, environmental and health challenges our…
Steer Clear of Corporate Venture Capital Pitfalls
Many corporate venture capital initiatives (CVCs) don’t deliver on their potential to bolster innovation. Research finds that these units often fit awkwardly within their parent companies, fail to meet their goals, or lack clear objectives. The…
Using Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Networks for the Design of Monte Carlo Simulations
When researchers develop new econometric methods it is common practice to compare the performance of the new methods to those of existing methods in Monte Carlo studies. The credibility of such Monte Carlo studies is often limited because of the…
What Makes Forest-Based Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimators Work?
Estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) is of prime importance in many disciplines, from personalized medicine to economics among many others. Random forests have been shown to be a flexible and powerful approach to HTE…
More Isn’t Always Better: Technology in the Intensive Care Unit
Clinical care in modern intensive care units (ICUs) combines multidisciplinary expertise and a complex array of technologies. These technologies have clearly advanced the ability of clinicians to do more for patients, yet so much equipment also…
A Parsimonious Extension of the Bass Diffusion Model for Consumer Durables to Incorporate Population and Income Growth
Adaptive Novelty Detection With False Discovery Rate Guarantee
This paper studies the semisupervised novelty detection problem where a set of “typical” measurements is available to the researcher. Motivated by recent advances in multiple testing and conformal inference, we propose AdaDetect, a flexible…
An Economic Framework for Vaccine Prioritization
We propose an economic framework for determining the optimal allocation of a scarce supply of vaccines that become gradually available during a public health crisis, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Agents differ in observable and unobservable…
Assessment of Price Variation in Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery at U.S. Hospitals
Background
Little is known about hospital pricing for coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). Using new price transparency data, we assessed variation in CABG prices across US hospitals and the association between higher…