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The Impact of Biased Feedback Strategies on Performance Judgments
The experiment reported here concerns an evaluator’s judgment of the quality of another person’s performance level subsequent to that performer’s own self-evaluative remarks. Specifically, we explore the attributional consequences of biased…
The Organizational Ecology of a Technological System
This paper investigates organizational mortality in the early American telephone industry, in which thousands of companies proliferated and failed under conditions of technological change. Drawing on the theory of community ecology, it is…
The Sarnoff Data Analysis and Visualization Project
The Theory of Value in Security Markets
This is an overview of general equilibrium theory with financial markets,emphasizing the theory of valuation of securities.
The effects of resource scarcity on group conflict and cooperation
To Pioneer or Follow?: Strategy of Entry Order
Abstract not available.
Transforming failure into success: Spin control in the Iceland arms control talks
Untying the knot: De-escalatory processes in international conflict
Vintage Human Capital Growth, and the Diffusion of New Technology
This paper develops a model of vintage human capital in which each technology requires vintage specific skills. A stationary competitive equilibrium is defined, shown to exist, and be Pareto optimal. The stationary equilibrium is characterized…
When in Doubt . . . : Cooperation in a Noisy Prisoner's Dilemma
In the last decade, there has been a resurgence of interest in problems of cooperation, stimulated largely by Axelrod’s work. Using an innovative tournament approach, Axelrod found that a simple strategy, Tit-for-Tat (TFT), was most successful in…
The Consumption-Based Capital Asset Pricing Model
Trade and the Revelation of Information through Prices and Direct Disclosure
This article analyzes the volume of trade in a multiperiod noisy rational expectations model. When traders receive private signals at the first trading date and are allowed a second round of trade, two type of equilibria exist. In the first,…
Choice Based on Reasons: The Case of Attraction and Compromise Effects
Building on previous research, this article proposes that choice behavior under preference uncertainty may be easier to explain by assuming that consumers select the alternative supported by the best reasons. This approach provides an explanation…
Decentralized Investment Banking
Discount dividend-reinvestment and stock-purchase plans allow shareholders to capture part of the underwriting fees incurred in new stock offerings and save sponsoring firms some of the usual underwriting costs. We tested the degree to which…
The Metric Quality of Ordered Categorical Data
We quantify the information loss incurred by categorizing an unobserved continuous variable (X) into an ordered categorical scale (Z). The continuous variable is conceptualized as true score (τ) (which varies across individuals…
Intertemporal Labor Supply and the Distribution of Family Income
The earnings of married women have a more equalizing effect on the distribution of lifetime family earnings (or the expected present value of earnings) than on the distribution of annual family earnings, using PSID longitudinal data. The…
The Factor Structure of Multidimensional Response to Marketing Stimuli: A Comparison of Two Approaches
Factor Analysis is commonly used to reveal the structure underlying the multiple attributes that describe marketing stimuli. This paper provides a theoretical investigation and an empirical comparison of two approaches to Factor Analysis…
A Consumer-Choice Health Plan for the 1990s: Universal Health Insurance in a System Designed to Promote Quality and Economy
We describe the characteristics necessary for a plan for universal health insurance to find broad acceptance. Such a plan must represent incremental, not radical, change; must respect the preferences of voters, patients, and providers; must avoid…
Evidence of Informational Asymmetries from Management Earnings Forecasts and Stock Returns
his paper compares the information investors have about a firm’s future earnings, as reflected in its stock price, to that of the firm’s management, as reflected in its management earnings forecast. Stock returns in the pre-forecast and forecast…
Windows of vulnerability or cognitive illusions? Cognitive processes and the nuclear arms race
Recent analyses of the nuclear arms race have emphasized the role of psychological processes in nations’ decisions to arm themselves. The present research was designed to investigate several hypotheses regarding the effects of two cognitive…