Publications

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Journal Articles

View peer-reviewed research by Stanford GSB faculty, published in leading journals across the business disciplines.

Books

View books written or edited by Stanford GSB faculty, from textbooks to books for a wider audience.

Working Papers

View scholarly works-in-progress by Stanford GSB faculty, which often appear in final form in academic journals.

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Journal Article

An Achievable-Region-Based Approach for Kidney Allocation Policy Design with Endogenous Patient Choice

Baris Ata, Yichuan Ding, Stefanos Zenios
Manufacturing & Service Operations Management January2021 Vol. 23 Issue 1 Pages 36–54.

Problem definition: Deceased-donor kidney transplant candidates in the United States are ranked according to characteristics of both the donor and the recipient. We seek the ranking policy that optimizes the efficiency–…

Working Paper

Analyst Forecast Revision Consistency and Bias in Earnings Forecast Revisions

Mary E. Barth, Wayne R. Landsman, Vivek Raval, Sean Wang
January2021

We address whether analysts bias earnings forecast revisions and convey the bias using forecast revision consistency, i.e., the extent to which analyst reports with earnings forecast revisions include stock recommendation and target price…

Journal Article

Asymptotic Synthesis of Contingent Claims with Controlled Risk in a Sequence of Discrete-time Markets

David M. Kreps, Walter Schachermayer
Theoretical Economics January2021 Vol. 16 Issue 1 Pages 25–47.

We examine the connection between discrete‐time models of financial markets and the celebrated Black–Scholes–Merton (BSM) continuous‐time model in which “markets are complete.” Suppose that (a) the probability law of a sequence of discrete‐time…

Journal Article

COVID-19 and the Workplace: Implications, Issues, and Insights for Future Research and Action

K. M. Kniffin, J. Narayanan, F. Anseel, J. Antonakis, S. P. Ashford, A. B. Bakker, P. Bamberger, H. Bapuji, D. P. Bhave, V. K. Choi, S. J. Creary, E. Demerouti, Francis J. Flynn, Michele J. Gelfand, L. L. Greer, G. Johns, S. Kesebir, P. G. Klein, S. Y. Lee, H. Ozcelik, J. L. Petriglieri, N. P. Rothbard, C. W. Rudolph, J. D. Shaw, N. Sirola, C. R. Wanberg, A. Whillans, M. P. Wilmot, M. van Vugt
American Psychologist January2021 Vol. 76 Issue 1 Pages 63–77.

The impacts of COVID-19 on workers and workplaces across the globe have been dramatic. This broad review of prior research rooted in work and organizational psychology, and related fields, is intended to make sense of the implications for…

Journal Article

Chain Stability in Trading Networks

Scott Duke Kominers, John William Hatfield, Alexandru Nichifor, Michael Ostrovsky, Alexander Westkamp
Theoretical Economics January2021 Vol. 16 Issue 1 Pages 197–234.

In a general model of trading networks with bilateral contracts, we propose a suitably adapted chain stability concept that plays the same role as pairwise stability in two-sided settings. We show that chain stability is equivalent to stability…

Journal Article

Equilibrium Allocations Under Alternative Waitlist Designs: Evidence From Deceased Donor Kidneys

Nikhil Agarwal, Itai Ashlagi, Michael A. Rees, Paulo Somaini, Daniel Waldinger
Econometrica January2021 Vol. 89 Issue 1 Pages 37–76.

Waitlists are often used to ration scarce resources, but the trade‐offs in designing these mechanisms depend on agents’ preferences. We study equilibrium allocations under alternative designs for the deceased donor kidney waitlist. We model the…

Journal Article

Equilibrium Technology Diffusion, Trade, and Growth

Jesse Perla, Christopher Tonetti, Michael E. Waugh
American Economic Review January2021 Vol. 111 Issue 1 Pages 73–128.

We study how opening to trade affects economic growth in a model where heterogeneous firms can adopt new technologies already in use by other firms in their home country. We characterize the growth rate using a summary statistic of the…

Journal Article

Experimental Evidence for Scale-Induced Category Convergence across Populations

Douglas R. Guilbeault, Andrea Baronchelli, Damon Centola
Nature Communications January2021 Vol. 12

Individuals vary widely in how they categorize novel and ambiguous phenomena. This individual variation has led influential theories in cognitive and social science to suggest that communication in large social groups introduces path dependence…

Stanford Closer Look

Gaming the System: Three “Red Flags” of Potential 10b5-1 Abuse

David F. Larcker, Bradford Lynch, Phillip Quinn, Brian Tayan, Daniel J. Taylor
Stanford Closer Look Series Corporate Governance Research Initiative January2021

The SEC adopted Rule 10b5-1 to provide an affirmative defense against allegations of insider trading to executives whose jobs regularly expose them to material nonpublic information. In this Closer Look, we present evidence on the trading…

Journal Article

Grandiose Narcissists and Decision-Making: Impulsive, Overconfident, and Skeptical of Experts — But Seldom in Doubt

Charles A. O’Reilly, Nicholas Hall
Personality and Individual Differences January2021 Vol. 168

A substantial body of research has documented that grandiose narcissists are characterized by high self-esteem, a sense of personal superiority and entitlement, overconfidence, a willingness to exploit others for self-gain, and hostility and…

Journal Article

Inefficiencies in Digital Advertising Markets

Brett Gordon, Kinshuk Jerath, Zsolt Katona, Sridhar Narayanan, Jiwoong Shin, Kenneth Wilbur
Journal of Marketing January2021 Vol. 85 Issue 1 Pages 7–25.

Digital advertising markets are growing and attracting increased scrutiny. This article explores four market inefficiencies that remain poorly understood: ad effect measurement, frictions between and within advertising channel members, ad…

Book

Making Great Strategy: Arguing for Organizational Advantage

Jesper B. Sørensen, Glenn R. Carroll
Columbia University Press New York January2021

Making strategy requires undertaking major — often irreversible — decisions aimed at long-run success in an uncertain future. All leaders must formulate a clear course of action, yet many lack confidence in their ability to think systematically…

Journal Article

Mechanisms for a No-Regret Agent: Beyond the Common Prior

Modibo Khane Camara, Jason D. Hartline, Aleck Johnsen
2020 IEEE 61st Annual Symposium on Foundations of Computer Science (FOCS) January2021

A rich class of mechanism design problems can be understood as incomplete-information games between a principal who commits to a policy and an agent who responds, with payoffs determined by an unknown state of the world. Traditionally, these…

Journal Article

Misdirecting persuasive efforts during the COVID-19 pandemic: The targets people choose may not be the most likely to change

Christopher Bechler, Zakary Tormala
Journal of the Association for Consumer Research January2021 Vol. 6 Issue 1 Pages 187–195.

Persuading people to engage in specific health behaviors is critical to prevent the spread of and mitigate the harm caused by COVID-19. Most of the research and practice around this issue focuses on developing effective message content.…

Journal Article

Moving Violations: Pairing an Illegitimate Learning Hierarchy with Trainee Status Mobility for Acquiring New Skills When Traditional Expertise Erodes

Katherine C. Kellogg, Jenna E. Myers, Lindsay Gainer, Sara Singer
Organization Science January2021 Vol. 32 Issue 1 Pages 181–209.

We explore how members of a community of practice learn new tools and techniques when environmental shifts undermine existing expertise. In our 20-month comparative field study of medical assistants and patient-service representatives learning to…

Journal Article

Policy Learning with Observational Data

Susan Athey, Stefan Wager
Econometrica January2021 Vol. 89 Issue 1 Pages 133–161.

In many areas, practitioners seek to use observational data to learn a treatment assignment policy that satisfies application-specific constraints, such as budget, fairness, simplicity, or other functional form constraints. For example,…

Policy Statement

The Donut Effect: How COVID-19 Shapes Real Estate

Arjun Ramani, Nicholas A. Bloom
Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research January2021

The pandemic has redefined how many Americans work, forced more of us to find refuge in our homes, and called into question the necessity of those dreaded commutes to a downtown office.

We are seeing these issues play out in real estate…

Journal Article

Trade-Offs in Choice

Franklin Shaddy, Ayelet Fishbach, Itamar Simonson
Annual Review of Psychology January2021 Vol. 72 Pages 181–206.

To explain trade-offs in choice, researchers have proposed myriad phenomena and decision rules, each paired with separate theories and idiosyncratic vocabularies. Yet most choice problems are ultimately resolved with one of just two types of…

Journal Article

Trapped Factors and China’s Impact on Global Growth

Nicholas A. Bloom, Paul Romer, Stephen J. Terry, John Van Reenen
The Economic Journal January2021 Vol. 131 Issue 633 Pages 156–191.

After a recent increase in Chinese import competition, European firms increased innovation. We present and rationalize these patterns using ‘trapped factors’ at the micro level within a stylized equilibrium model of product-cycle trade and growth…

Journal Article

Why Are Some Immigrant Groups More Successful Than Others?

Edward P. Lazear
Journal of Labor Economics January2021 Vol. 39 Issue 1

The composition of immigrants depends not only on immigrant choice but also on immigration policy, because slots are rationed. Policy determines immigrant attainment, as evidenced by immigrants from Algeria having higher educational attainment…