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NVIDIA: Strategic Evolution Through Innovation
NVIDIA has grown from a small, niche player into one of the titans of the information technology industry, alongside established leaders such as Microsoft and Apple. How has a company that started out by giving gamers a better playing experience…
Seeking Beauty and Finding Health: How Choosing Beautiful Food Promotes Healthy Eating
Consumers frequently perceive a tradeoff between health and taste, leading to poor dietary choices. This research identifies a novel pathway to healthier eating: seeking beauty in food. Across seven pre-registered field and lab studies, pursuing…
Understanding the Effects of Values Affirmation on Deaf Students in Nepal: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial
In this paper, we present two studies from the first randomized controlled trial on the impact of a values affirmation intervention on academic performance and psychological well-being in school for deaf students in secondary deaf schools in…
Expectations Formation with Fat-Tailed Processes: Evidence and Theory
This paper studies expectations formation when the underlying process has fat tails. Using a large sample of firm sales growth expectations, we document three facts: (i) the relationship between forecast revisions and future forecast errors is…
The Wealth of Stagnation: Falling Growth, Rising Valuations
Over the last half-century, economic growth stagnated but stock-market wealth boomed. I present evidence that declining innovation productivity reconciles these trends. At the macro level, I document that R&D spending has fallen relative to…
Towards Resiliency in the US Healthcare Supply Chain
Selective Inattention to Interest Rates
This paper studies whether households are selectively inattentive to interest rates and examines its macroeconomic implications. We first use existing and newly-designed household surveys to establish that households close to durables purchases…
Skating on Thin Ice: New Evidence on Financial Fragility
This paper examines the financial fragility of Dutch households by assessing their ability to raise €2000 within a month in the event of a financial emergency. We show that one in seven Dutch households was financially fragile well before the…
Insurance versus Moral Hazard in Income-Contingent Student Loan Repayment
Student loans with income-contingent repayment insure borrowers against income risk but can reduce their incentives to earn more. Using a change in Australia’s income-contingent repayment schedule, I show that borrowers reduce their labor supply…
Tax Avoidance as an R&D Subsidy: The Use of Cost Sharing Agreements by US Multinationals
We use administrative corporate tax data from the IRS to study a particular form of tax avoidance for US multinational corporations (MNCs). This strategy relies on cost sharing agreements (CSAs), which govern joint R&D efforts conducted with…
Model-based Algorithms Shape Automatic Evaluative Processing
Computational theories of reinforcement learning suggest that two families of algorithm—model-based and model-free—tightly map onto the classic distinction between automatic and deliberate systems of control: Deliberate evaluative responses are…
Load Balancing Using Sparse Communication
Load balancing across parallel servers is an important class of congestion control problems that arise in service systems. An effective load balancer relies heavily on accurate, real-time congestion information to make routing decisions. However…
Sovereign Default and the Decline in Interest Rates
Sovereign debt yields have declined dramatically over the last half-century. Standard explanations, including aging populations and increases in asset demand from abroad, encounter difficulties when confronted with the full range of evidence. We…
Which Republican Constituencies Support Restrictive Abortion Laws? Comparisons Among Donors, Wealthy, and Mass Publics
Roe vs. Wade (1973) recognized a constitutional right to abortion under various circumstances and, in doing so, facilitated a political environment in which politicians could endorse more restrictive abortion policies that …
The Rise of Alternatives
Since the 2000s, U.S. public pension funds have actively shifted their risky investments away from public equities and toward alternative assets like private equity and hedge funds—some much more than others. We explore a range of possible…
Kinesthetic Properties of Response Scales Yield Different Judgments
This research examines how the movements an interface requires of a consumer—that is, its “kinesthetic properties”—can alter what a consumer attends to when responding and, in turn, change the response itself. We compare the kinesthetic…
A Q-Theory of Banks
Bank capital requirements are based on book values, which are slow to reflect losses. In this article, we develop a dynamic model of banks to study the interaction of regulation and delayed accounting. Our model explains four stylized facts: book…
Foundation versus domain-specific models for left ventricular segmentation on cardiac ultrasound
The Segment Anything Model (SAM) was fine-tuned on the EchoNet-Dynamic dataset and evaluated on external transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) and Point-of-Care Ultrasound (POCUS) datasets from CAMUS (University Hospital of St Etienne) and Mayo…
Conformal Arbitrage: Risk-Controlled Balancing of Competing Objectives in Language Models
Modern language-model deployments must often balance competing objectives—for example, helpfulness versus harmlessness, cost versus accuracy, and reward versus safety. We introduce Conformal Arbitrage, a post-hoc framework that…
Continuous-Time Random Matching
Continuous-time random matching with a large (continuum) population is widely exploited in the literature, but has not had a rigorous formulation, nor a demonstration of its key assumed properties. This paper provides the first probabilistic…