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The Market for Accountants
This paper develops and estimates a structural model of the labor market for accountants that integrates forward-looking lifetime occupational choices with oligopsonistic employer demand. Using longitudinal resume data covering career transitions…
Who to Offer, and When: Redesigning Feeding America's Real-Time Donation Tool
In collaboration with Feeding America, we aim to redesign Real-Time—a tool on its food sourcing and rescue platform, MealConnect—that facilitates the connection of ad-hoc, time-sensitive food donations to local agencies (e.g., meal programs)…
How Values and Uncertainty Shape Scientific Advance in Peer Review
Tens of thousands of scientists contribute to peer review as journal editors and reviewers of the millions of manuscripts submitted every year. How do they decide what is quality work? What values do they apply in evaluating which science merits…
Age and Gender Distortion in Online Media and Large Language Models
Are widespread stereotypes accurate or socially distorted? This continuing debate is limited by the lack of large-scale multimodal data on stereotypical associations and the inability to compare these to ground truth indicators. Here we overcame…
Emergent Directedness in Social Contagion
An enduring challenge in contagion theory is that the pathways contagions follow through social networks exhibit emergent complexities that are difficult to predict using network structure. Here, we address this challenge by developing a causal…
Investing in Political Expertise: The Remarkable Scale of Corporate Policy Teams
In this paper, we define and measure a previously unstudied channel by which companies react to, and attempt to shape, politics: internal policy teams. We use the text of more than 100,000 job listings to classify the roles of roughly 100 million…
Consumer Memory and Competitive Interference: The Case of Auto Insurance Advertising
Insights from psychology suggest competitive interference: when a firm advertises, consumers are less likely to think of its competitor, benefiting the advertiser by keeping it top of mind and suppressing competitor recall. We empirically…
GDP-B: Accounting for the Value of New and Free Goods
The welfare contributions of new goods and free goods are not well-measured in standard statistical agency metrics like GDP or productivity. We derive explicit terms for the contributions of these goods and introduce a new framework and metric,…
GSB Alumni Entrepreneurs 2025
As the Stanford Graduate School of Business Grousbeck-Holloway Center for Entrepreneurial Studies (CES) enters its 30th year, this inaugural GSB Alumni Entrepreneurs 2025 Report provides a comprehensive analysis of entrepreneurial…
Human Capital Disclosure and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Regulation S-K
We examine the labor market consequences of the 2020 Regulation S-K requiring human capital disclosure in 10K filings. Using large-sample job-level data and a Generative Large Language Model (GLLM), we observe that public firms subject…
Improving Knockoffs with Conditional Calibration
The knockoff filter of (Ann. Statist.43 (2015) 2055–2085) is a flexible framework for multiple testing in supervised learning models, based on introducing synthetic predictor variables to control the false discovery…
Investing in Lending Technology: IT Spending in Banking
Banks’ lending technology hinges on their handling of soft and hard information in dealing with different types of credit demand. Through assembling a novel dataset on banks’ investment in information technologies (IT), this paper provides…
Political Polarization in Medicine
This paper studies partisan differences in medical practice over 1999-2019. I link physicians in the Medicare claims data with campaign contributions to identify party alignment. In 1999, there are no partisan differences in medical expenditure…
Steering a Ship in Illiquid Waters: Active Management of Passive Funds
Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are typically viewed as passive index trackers. In contrast, we show that corporate bond ETFs actively manage their portfolios, trading off index tracking against liquidity transformation. In our model, ETFs optimally…
Treatment Effects in Market Equilibrium
Policy-relevant treatment effect estimation in a marketplace setting requires assessing both the direct treatment benefit and spillovers induced by changes to the market equilibrium. We show how to identify and estimate policy-relevant treatment…
What Does It Take? Quantifying Cross-Country Transfers in the Eurozone
We compute the cross-country transfers that result from unconventional monetary policy in the Eurozone. The ECB funds the expansion of its aggregate balance sheet mostly by issuing bank reserves and cash in core countries. The national central…
The Surrogate Index: Combining Short-Term Proxies to Estimate Long-Term Treatment Effects More Rapidly and Precisely
A common challenge in estimating the long-term impacts of treatments (e.g., job training programs) is that the outcomes of interest (e.g., lifetime earnings) are observed with a long delay. We address this problem by combining several short-term…
Tariffs and Supply Chain Diversification under Scale Economies
The recent elimination of the United States de minimis exemption for import tariffs has been reported to have a significant impact on ultra-fresh fashion companies such as Shein and Temu. This paper develops a game-theoretic model to investigate…
How Do Chief Executive Officers Make Strategy?
We survey 262 chief executive officer (CEO) alumni of Harvard Business School and gather evidence on three aspects of each executive’s strategy practice: how formalized it is, how it is developed, and how it is implemented. We report three main…