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2022 State of Latino Entrepreneurship
This is the eighth annual State of Latino Entrepreneurship report collecting data from Latino-owned businesses, the fastest growing segment of the U.S. business population. This year, we administered a national survey to more than 10,000 U.S.…
Conformalized Survival Analysis
In this paper, we develop an inferential method based on conformal prediction, which can wrap around any survival prediction algorithm to produce calibrated, covariate-dependent lower predictive bounds on survival times. In the Type I right-…
Election-Denying Republican Candidates Underperformed in the 2022 Midterms
We combine newly collected election data with records of public denials of the results of the 2020 election to estimate the degree to which election-denying Republican candidates for senator, governor, secretary of state, and attorney general…
Flexible and Efficient Contextual Bandits with Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Oracles
Contextual bandit algorithms often estimate reward models to inform decision-making. However, true rewards can contain action-independent redundancies that are not relevant for decision-making. We show it is more data-efficient to estimate any…
Gender Relativism: How Context Shapes What Is Seen as Male and Female
This research explores the concept of gender relativism, whereby “gender”-or what is seen as “male” and “female”-changes as a function of context. Seven studies find that people attach gender to seemingly “gender-neutral” stimuli-bifurcating…
Landscape of Caregiving Innovations: Full Report 2023
For individuals who take on the responsibility of caring for another person due to illness, disability, or declining abilities, it can often be challenging, lonely, costly, and exhausting. As the United States continues to address the…
Neural Design for Genetic Perturbation Experiments
The problem of how to genetically modify cells in order to maximize a certain cellular phenotype has taken center stage in drug development over the last few years (with, for example, genetically edited CAR-T, CAR-NK, and CAR-NKT cells entering…
Open Banking: Credit Market Competition When Borrowers Own the Data
Open banking facilitates data sharing consented to by customers who generate the data, with the regulatory goal of promoting competition between traditional banks and challenger fintech entrants. We study lending market competition when sharing…
Testing for Outliers with Conformal p-values
This paper studies the construction of p-values for nonparametric outlier detection, from a multiple-testing perspective. The goal is to test whether new independent samples belong to the same distribution as a reference data set or are outliers…
The 5S’s of Consumer Health: A Framework and Curation of JCR Articles on Health and Medical Decision-Making
In this curation, we review many articles published in the Journal of Consumer Research(JCR) that focus on a spectrum of health and medical decisions, while highlighting five (Bolton et al. 2008Botti, Orfali, and…
The PR Power of Fessing Up
Companies are adopting a new communications strategy: publicly disclosing unflattering information about lapses and misdeeds. New research indicates that doing so is effective for building trust.
Transforming Logistics with AI
The use of AI-based technologies in logistics has the potential to reduce operating costs, increase efficiency and service levels, and improve quality of life for some. Yet many hurdles to adopting such technologies, both technical and otherwise…
When Should You Adjust Standard Errors for Clustering?
Clustered standard errors, with clusters defined by factors such as geography, are widespread in empirical research in economics and many other disciplines. Formally, clustered standard errors adjust for the correlations induced by sampling the…
Awakening and Breathing Coordination: A Mixed-Methods Analysis of Determinants of Implementation
Routine spontaneous awakening and breathing trial coordination (SAT/SBT) improves outcomes for mechanically ventilated patients, but adherence varies. Understanding barriers to and facilitators of consistent daily use of SAT/SBT (implementation…
The Price Is NOT Right: Payers’ Roles in Addressing Financial Toxicity
From an economic perspective, one of the fundamental features of a well-designed insurance plan is financial protection against catastrophic loss.Yet, while the United States has the most expensive health insurance in the world, health insurance…
Analytics Saves Lives During the COVID-19 Crisis in Chile
Franz Edelman Award 2022, Winning Project
During the COVID-19 crisis, the Chilean Ministry of Health and the Ministry of Sciences, Technology, Knowledge and Innovation partnered with the Instituto Sistemas Complejos de Ingeniería…
Assessing the Gains from E-Commerce
E-commerce represents a rapidly growing share of consumer spending in the United States. We use transactions-level data on credit and debit cards from Visa, Inc. between 2007 and 2017 to quantify the resulting consumer surplus. We estimate e-…
Balancing Act: Protecting Privacy, Protecting Competition
A large majority of Americans — 81 percent — feel a lack of control over their personal data and indicate they are concerned that the risks posed by corporate data collection outweigh any benefits. Governments and regulators are responding to…
Battling the Coronavirus Infodemic Among Social Media Users in Africa
During a global pandemic, how can we best prompt social media users to demonstrate discernment in sharing information online? We ran a contextual adaptive experiment on Facebook Messenger with users in Kenya and Nigeria and tested 40 combinations…
Boosting Sales and Customer Welfare from Premade Foods (Let the Freshest Chicken Fly Off the Shelf First)
[Submitted to Management Science.]
This paper examines a grocery retailer’s management of a premade food product. The retailer’s goal is to maximize a weighted sum of direct profit and customer welfare. Multiple items of the…