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Random Inspections and Periodic Reviews: Optimal Dynamic Monitoring
We study the design of monitoring in dynamic settings with moral hazard. An agent (e.g. a firm) benefits from reputation for quality, and a principal (e.g. a regulator) can learn the agent’s quality via costly inspections. Monitoring plays…
Reinforcement with Fading Memories
We study the effect of imperfect memory on decision making in the context of a stochastic sequential action-reward problem. An agent chooses a sequence of actions, which generate discrete rewards at different rates. She is allowed to make new…
Rethinking Reappraisal: The Double-Edged Sword of Regulating Negative Emotions in the Workplace
Cognitive reappraisal can benefit employees, in terms of their emotional health. However, we propose that reappraisal can also entail hidden costs. Drawing on social-functionalist emotions theory, we posit that the use of reappraisal to…
Reveal the Supplier List? A Trade-off in Capacity vs. Responsibility
Under what conditions and how can a buying firm, by committing to publish a list of its suppliers and/or the identities and violations of terminated suppliers, increase its expected profit and supplier responsibility? This paper contributes to a…
The Activist’s Dilemma: Extreme Protest Actions Reduce Popular Support for Social Movements
How do protest actions impact public support for social movements? Here we test the claim that extreme protest actions — protest behaviors perceived to be harmful to others, highly disruptive, or both — typically reduce support for social…
The Macroeconomics of Corporate Debt
The 2020 COVID-19 crisis can spur research on firms’ corporate finance decisions and their macroeconomic implications, similar to the wave of important research on banking and household finance triggered by the 2008 financial crisis. What are the…
Value Chains in Turbulent Times
Trade tensions, natural disasters, and the current global pandemic bring with them many challenges. Yet a variety of strategies, technologies, and digital innovations can help companies reduce risk and enhance supply chain resilience and agility…
Motor Constraints Influence Cultural Evolution of Rhythm
While widely acknowledged in the cultural evolution literature, ecological factors — aspects of the physical environment that affect the way in which cultural productions evolve — have not been investigated experimentally. Here, we present an…
Tractable Contextual Bandits Beyond Realizability
Tractable contextual bandit algorithms often rely on the realizability assumption — i.e., that the true expected reward model belongs to a known class, such as linear functions. We investigate issues that arise in the absence of realizability and…
An Experiment in Candidate Selection
Are ordinary citizens or political party leaders better positioned to select candidates? While the direct vote primary system in the United States lets citizens choose, it is exceptional, as the vast majority of democracies rely instead on…
Optimal Policies to Battle the Coronavirus “Infodemic” Among Social Media Users in Sub-Saharan Africa: Pre-analysis Plan
Alongside the outbreak of the novel coronavirus, an “infodemic” of myths and hoax cures is spreading over online media outlets and social media platforms. Building on the literature on combating fake news, we evaluate experimental interventions…
Are U.S. Treasury Bonds Still a Safe Haven?
Safe assets are integral to the functioning of banks, financial markets, and the international financial system. Financial market participants use safe assets to meet liquidity and transaction needs, as high-quality collateral for loans and…
Disgusted and Afraid: Consumer Choices Under the Threat of Contagious Disease
Consumers regularly encounter cues of contagious disease in daily life — a commuter sneezes on the train, a colleague blows their nose in a meeting, or they read recent headlines about the dangerous spread of a disease. Research has…
Expectations Management and Stock Returns
We establish a link between firms managing investors’ performance expectations, earnings announcement premia, and cyclical patterns (i.e., seasonalities) in returns. Firms that are more likely to manage expectations toward beatable levels…
Firm Performance and Macro Forecast Accuracy
Combining a unique survey of Japanese firms’ GDP forecasts with accounting data for 25 years, we find three main results.
- Firms’ GDP forecasts are associated with their employment, investment, and output growth in the subsequent year…
Identification in Auction Models with Interdependent Costs
This paper provides a nonparametric identification result for procurement models with asymmetric bidders, dependent private information, and interdependent costs. For risk-neutral bidders, the model’s payoff-relevant primitives are the joint…
Magnitude and Effects of “Sludge” in Benefits Administration: How Health Insurance Hassles Burden Workers and Cost Employers
Administrative burdens may have substantial direct and indirect costs for employers and employees, making them important research topics. Here, we examine the time employees spend dealing with their health benefits administrators. Using a…
Public Oversight and Reporting Credibility: Evidence from the PCAOB Audit Inspection Regime
This paper studies the impact of public audit oversight on financial reporting credibility. We analyze changes in market responses to earnings news after public audit oversight is introduced, exploiting that the regime onset depends on fiscal…
Spouses’ Faces Are Similar but Do Not Become More Similar with Time
The widely disseminated convergence in physical appearance hypothesis posits that long-term partners’ facial appearance converges with time due to their shared environment, emotional mimicry, and synchronized activities. Although plausible, this…
The Structure of Business Taxation in China
This paper documents facts about the structure of business taxation in China using administrative tax data from 2007 to 2011 from the State Taxation Administration. We first document the importance of different business taxes across industries.…