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Purpose Not Prediction: the Role of Managers in the Age of AI
Much digital ink has been spilled recently (and no doubt will continue to be) on how Artificial Intelligence (AI) will reshape management and organizational processes. Some argue that AI will ultimately make managers obsolete. Others predict the…
A Framework of Digital Biomarkers for Neurodegenerative Diseases
Digital biomarkers (DBMs) are a new class of health indicators derived from digital technologies — including smartphones, wearable devices and ambient sensors — that enable continuous, real-time monitoring of signals in everyday settings. By…
A Simple Threshold Captures the Social Learning of Conventions
A persistent puzzle throughout the cognitive and social sciences is how people manage to learn social conventions from the sparse and noisy behavioral data of diverse actors, without explicit instruction. Here, we show that the dominant theories…
Human + AI in Accounting: Early Evidence from the Field
This paper provides early evidence on the integration and impact of generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) in accounting at the accountant and task levels. Using survey data from 277 professional accountants, we document substantial…
The Impact Compass
What job should I take to maximize my impact potential, that is my potential to generate positive social impact? Which deal will maximize the impact return of my investment dollars? Which nonprofit will make the most of my donation? Can a well-…
What Happens to Named Executive Officers after Taking an Outside Board Seat?
In this Closer Look, we provide a detailed examination of the labor market for directorships among the senior executives of publicly traded U.S. companies with a focus on non-CEO-level executives. We find that directorships held by…
Consumer Bankruptcy Audits
Bankruptcy insures consumers against large and unexpected wealth shocks. However, debtors may abuse this insurance. Indeed, close to 20% of consumer bankruptcy filings contain at least one material misstatement. I exploit the conditionally random…
Collusion with Optimal Information Disclosure
Motivated by recent concerns surrounding the use of third-party pricing algorithms by competing firms, we study repeated Bertrand competition where market demand or the cost of serving the market is observed by an intermediary (or “algorithm”)…
Generative AI in Financial Reporting
Generative artificial intelligence (GAI) will likely alter many aspects of the financial reporting process and spawn a deep stream of academic research. We take an early step by examining the extent to which firms have begun using GAI in one…
How Deceptive Online Networks Reached Millions in the US 2020 Elections
Deceptive online networks are coordinated efforts that use identity deception to pursue strategic political or financial goals. During the US 2020 elections, these networks reached at least 37 million Facebook and 3 million Instagram users,…
Exchange-Traded Funds and the Wash Sale Loophole
Tax wash sale rules prohibit the recognition of capital losses when substantially identical securities are sold and immediately repurchased within short windows. This study examines whether institutional investors use exchange-traded funds (ETFs…
MIRAGE: The Illusion of Visual Understanding
Multimodal AI systems have achieved remarkable performance across a broad range of real-world tasks, yet the mechanisms underlying visual-language reasoning remain surprisingly poorly understood. We report three findings that challenge prevailing…
AI Disruption: Industrial Value Chains
AI is revolutionizing industrial value chains by accelerating operations, enhancing supply chain resilience, and mitigating critical labor shortages. To realize these gains, companies must first bridge potentially significant data gaps while…
Machine Learning Predictions for Assessing Hard-to-Place Deceased Donor Kidneys
Rationale & Objective
Nearly 20% of deceased donor kidneys in the United States are placed “out-of-sequence” (ie, outside of standard allocation rules). The rationale for out-of-sequence placements is to expedite placement of kidneys…
Making Organizational Culture Great
Leaders remain skeptical about the power of organizational culture even though extensive research shows that it is crucial to business success. Can a manager really influence an organization’s culture, or do executives just try to impose a…
Veto Players and Policy Development
We analyze the effects of veto players when the set of available policies isn’t exogenously fixed, but rather determined by policy developers who work to craft new high-quality proposals. If veto players are moderate, there is active competition…
Can Explanations Improve Recommendations? Evidence from Prediction-Informed Explanations
Recommender systems are central to how modern digital platforms connect users with content, yet they face a fundamental trade-off between predictive accuracy and explainability. Black-box models achieve strong performance but lack the…
Bond Convenience Yields in the Eurozone Currency Union
This paper analyzes bond convenience yields in a currency union. The intertemporal government budget constraint requires member countries’ bond convenience yields and default spreads to adjust in response to shocks to their government surpluses.…
Where Are Managers Needed? How Culture and Coordinative Complexity Predict the Evolution of Reporting Relationships in Organizations
Organization redesign often raises a central question: Where are managers needed? A potential substitute for formal supervision by managers is interpersonal cultural alignment, which can ease coordination between colleagues. Yet prior…
AI Financial Advice: Supply, Demand, and Life Cycle Implications
We develop and implement a novel method to study personal financial advice from Large Language Models (LLMs). Studying this advice is challenging because it depends on the model used (i.e., supply), the questions individuals ask (i.e., demand),…