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A Reexamination of the Impact of Decision Conflict on Choice Deferral
In this research we reexamine and update prior research on the association between decision conflict and choice deferral. Decision conflict has featured prominently in psychology literature, going back to the seminal work of Lewin (1933), Miller…
Robot Hubs: The Skewed Distribution of Robots in U.S. Manufacturing
We use establishment-level data from the US Census Bureau’s Annual Survey of Manufactures to study the characteristics and geographic locations of investments in robots. We find that the distribution of robots is highly skewed across locations.…
Social and Moral Psychology of COVID-19 across 69 Countries
The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all domains of human life, including the economic and social fabric of societies. One of the central strategies for managing public health throughout the pandemic has been through persuasive messaging and…
The Demand for Money, Near-Money, and Treasury Bonds
Bank-created money, shadow-bank money, and Treasury bonds all satisfy investors’ demand for liquidity. We measure the quantity of these forms of liquidity and their corresponding liquidity premium in a sample from 1934 to 2016, estimating the…
The Good, the Bad, and the Complex: Product Design with Imperfect Information
We study the joint determination of product quality and complexity. In our model complexity affects how difficult it is for an agent to acquire information about product quality. An agent can accept or reject a product proposed by a designer, who…
The Stock Connect to China
As a bridge between Chinese mainland and international financial markets, the Stock Connect program allows investors on both sides to gain mutual access. By analyzing how cross-border flows respond to macro-related shocks, we show that compared…
Working Hard for Money Decreases Risk Tolerance
This research examines how the effort that consumers exert to earn money affects their risk tolerance. We theorize and find that working harder — that is, more effortful earning — increases perceived ownership and valuation of earnings,…
Zoning for Profits: How Public Finance Shapes Land Supply in China
Public finance and real estate are uniquely intertwined in China, where local governments also serve as monopolist sellers of land. We shed new light on how land sale decisions and land prices depend on local governments’ financing objectives.…
Seven Gaping Holes in our Knowledge of Corporate Governance
In Closer Look, we highlight significant “holes” in our knowledge of corporate governance. These are central issues where insufficient or inadequate study has left us unable to answer basic questions, and where key assumptions relied upon by…
Altering Experienced Utility by Incidental Affect: The Interplay of Valence and Arousal in Incidental Affect Infusion Processes
The way we evaluate an experience can be influenced by contextual factors that are unrelated to the experience at hand. A prominent factor that has been shown to infuse into the evaluation processes is incidental affect. Prior research has…
Are Intermediary Constraints Priced?
Violations of no-arbitrage conditions measure the shadow cost of intermediary constraints. Intermediary asset pricing and intertemporal hedging together imply that the risk of these constraints tightening is priced. We describe a “forward CIP…
Don’t Trust, Verify: The Case of Slashing from a Popular Ethereum Explorer
Blockchain explorers are important tools for quick look-ups of on-chain activities. However, as centralized data providers, their reliability remains under-studied. As a case study, we investigate Beaconcha.in , a leading explorer serving…
Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Right-Censored Data via Causal Survival Forests
Forest-based methods have recently gained in popularity for non-parametric treatment effect estimation. Building on this line of work, we introduce causal survival forests, which can be used to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects in survival…
Factors Affecting Collaboration between Clinical and Community Service Organizations
Background
Collaboration between clinical and community-based social service organizations is increasingly seen as vital for preventing and managing chronic diseases but has been challenging to establish and sustain.
…
Market Re-Design of Framework Agreements in Chile Reduces Government Procurement Spending
Framework agreements (FAs) are procurement mechanisms used in private and public organizations by which a central procurement agency selects an assortment of products, typically through auctions, and then affiliated organizations can purchase…
Monetary Tightening and U.S. Bank Fragility in 2023: Mark-to-Market Losses and Uninsured Depositor Runs?
We analyze U.S. banks’ asset exposure to a recent rise in the interest rates with implications for financial stability. The U.S. banking system’s market value of assets is $2.2 trillion lower than suggested by their book value of assets…
Multilevel Cultural Evolution: From New Theory to Practical Applications
Evolutionary science has led to many practical applications of genetic evolution but few practical uses of cultural evolution. This is because the entire study of evolution was gene centric for most of the 20th century, relegating the study and…
On Frequentist Regret of Linear Thompson Sampling
This paper studies the stochastic linear bandit problem, where a decision-maker chooses actions from possibly time-dependent sets of vectors in ℝd and receives noisy rewards. The objective is to minimize regret, the difference between the…
Online Assortment Optimization for Two-Sided Matching Platforms
Motivated by online labor markets, we consider the online assortment optimization problem faced by a two-sided matching platform that hosts a set of suppliers waiting to match with a customer. Arriving customers are shown an assortment of…
Pledge-and-Review Bargaining: from Kyoto to Paris
A tractable dynamic model of international climate policies is analyzed. The choice of bargaining game influences participation levels, emission quotas and technology investment levels. I derive several predictions that are arguably consistent…