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Private Genetic Genealogy Search
Genetic genealogy search has emerged as a powerful technique for identifying individuals by leveraging their genetic information and a genealogical network. The current practice relies on searching within a pre-constructed database containing…
Competitive Exclusion versus Mimetic Isomorphism: An Identified Empirical Test
Why are organizations sometimes so similar, and in other cases so different? For decades this question has been central to research on organizations, and two leading theories have answered the question very differently. Neo-institutional theory…
Social Features of Integration in Health Systems and Their Relationship to Provider Experience, Care Quality and Clinical Integration
More is known about the structural features of health system integration than the social features—elements of normative integration (alignment of norms) and interpersonal integration (collaboration among professionals and with patients). We…
Alpha-1 Adrenergic Receptor Antagonists to Prevent Hyperinflammation and Death from Lower Respiratory Tract Infection
In severe viral pneumonia, including Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), the viral replication phase is often followed by hyperinflammation, which can lead to acute respiratory distress syndrome, multi-organ failure, and death. We previously…
Optimal Model Selection in Contextual Bandits with Many Classes via Offline Oracles
We study the problem of model selection for contextual bandits, in which the algorithm must balance the bias-variance trade-off for model estimation while also balancing the exploration-exploitation trade-off. In this paper, we propose the first…
Diffusion Asymptotics for Sequential Experiments
We propose a new diffusion-asymptotic analysis for sequentially randomized experiments, including those that arise in solving multi-armed bandit problems. In an experiment with n time steps, we let the mean reward gaps between actions…
Off-Policy Evaluation via Adaptive Weighting with Data from Contextual Bandits
It has become increasingly common for data to be collected adaptively, for example using contextual bandits. Historical data of this type can be used to evaluate other treatment assignment policies to guide future innovation or experiments.…
Fighting Backlash to Racial Equity Efforts
Understanding the real reasons why diversity initiatives provoke opposition can help you lead employees through cultural transformation.
Why Good Arguments Make Better Strategy
Great strategies don’t come easily. They require constructive debate, iterative visualization, and logical formalization. Successful companies like Amazon and Netflix use these activities to cut through the strategic fog. The…
An Assumption-Free Exact Test for Fixed-Design Linear Models with Exchangeable Errors
We propose the cyclic permutation test to test general linear hypotheses for linear models. The test is nonrandomized and valid in finite samples with exact Type I error α for an arbitrary fixed design matrix and arbitrary exchangeable errors,…
A Causal Bootstrap
The bootstrap, introduced by The Jackknife, the Bootstrap and Other Resampling Plans [(1982), SIAM], has become a very popular method for estimating variances and constructing confidence intervals. A key insight is that one can approximate the…
Games with Unawareness
We provide a tool to model and solve strategic situations where players’ perceptions are limited, as well as situations where players realize that other players’ perceptions may be limited and so on. We define normal, repeated, incomplete…
A General Interactive Framework for False Discovery Rate Control under Structural Constraints
We propose a general framework based on selectively traversed accumulation rules for interactive multiple testing with generic structural constraints on the rejection set. It combines accumulation tests from ordered multiple testing with data-…
Integrating Explanation and Prediction in Computational Social Science
Computational social science is more than just large repositories of digital data and the computational methods needed to construct and analyze them. It also represents a convergence of different fields with different ways of thinking about and…
Leverage Dynamics without Commitment
We characterize equilibrium leverage dynamics in a trade-off model in which the firm can continuously adjust leverage and cannot commit to a policy ex ante. While the leverage ratchet effect leads shareholders to issue debt gradually over time,…
Need Statements in Healthcare Innovation
Need screening is a rigorous process of filtering and ranking a collection of need statements based on objective metrics such as healthcare value, market size, clinical impact, disease state, and disease pathophysiology.
Objects and Self-Identity
This article reviews how objects can serve as indicators of one’s identity and signals of important life events. Objects carry both personal and social meaning, and ownership or usage increases the linkage between the object and the self. Owned…
Psychological Ownership of (Borrowed) Money
The current research introduces the concept of psychological ownership of borrowed money, a construct that represents how much consumers feel that borrowed money is their own. We observe both individual-level and contextual-level…
Quasi-Oracle Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
Flexible estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects lies at the heart of many statistical challenges, such as personalized medicine and optimal resource allocation. In this paper, we develop a general class of two-step algorithms for…
Restructuring Corporate Debt: A Different Kind of Cycle
The COVID-19 pandemic and its associated response have delivered a recessionary shock to the global economy. As with prior downturns, these forces have collided with a leveraged corporate sector and spurred an increase in financial restructuring…