Working Papers

These papers are working drafts of research which often appear in final form in academic journals. The published versions may differ from the working versions provided here.

SSRN Research Paper Series

The Social Science Research Network’s Research Paper Series includes working papers produced by Stanford GSB the Rock Center.

You may search for authors and topics and download copies of the work there.

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Data Tracking under Competition

Kostas Bimpikis, Daniela Saban
November102022

We explore the welfare implications of data-tracking technologies that enable firms to collect consumer data and use it for price discrimination. The model we develop centers around two features: competition between firms and consumers’ level of…

Cancel Culture and Social Learning

Iván Marinovic, Davide Cianciaruso, Ilan Guttman
November2022

We study social learning and information transmission in a sender-receiver game wherein senders may be attacked (“cancelled”) for challenging the status-quo beliefs. We find that cancellations (and self-censorship) don’t arise unless there is a…

Contextual Bandits in a Survey Experiment on Charitable Giving: Within-Experiment Outcomes versus Policy Learning

Susan Athey, Undral Byambadalai, Vitor Hadad, Sanath Kumar Krishnamurthy, Weiwen Leung, Joseph Jay Williams
November2022

We design and implement an adaptive experiment (a “contextual bandit”) to learn a targeted treatment assignment policy, where the goal is to use a participant’s survey responses to determine which charity to expose them to in a donation…

Emotion- Versus Reasoning-Based Drivers of Misinformation Sharing: A Field Experiment Using Text Message Courses in Kenya

Susan Athey, Matias Cersosimo, Kristine Koutout, Zelin Li
November2022

Two leading hypotheses for why individuals unintentionally share misinformation are that 1) they are unable to recognize that a post contains misinformation, and 2) they make impulsive, emotional sharing decisions without thinking about whether a…

Gender and Culture in Organizations: Perceptions, Beliefs and Experiences

Glenn R. Carroll, Lara Yang
November2022

Our efforts here represent an exploratory attempt to make some progress on developing a fuller understanding of gender and organizational culture. In doing so, we report on a wide-ranging survey we administered to a sample of full-time workers (…

How Abundant Are Reserves? Evidence from the Wholesale Payment System

Gara Afonso, Darrell Duffie, Lorenzo Rigon, Hyun Song Shin
November2022

Before the era of large central bank balance sheets, banks relied on incoming payments to fund outgoing payments in order to conserve scarce liquidity. Even in the era of large central bank balance sheets, rather than funding payments with…

IPOs and Corporate Tax Planning

Christine Dobridge, Rebecca Lester, Andrew Whitten
November2022

Does going public affect the amount and type of corporate tax planning? Using a panel of U.S. corporate tax return data from 1994 to 2018, we show that IPO completion is associated with the implementation of multinational income shifting…

Policy Learning with Adaptively Collected Data

Ruohan Zhan, Zhimei Ren, Susan Athey, Zhengyuan Zhou
November2022

Learning optimal policies from historical data enables the gains from personalization to be realized in a wide variety of applications. The growing policy learning literature focuses on a setting where the treatment assignment policy does not…

Smiles in Profiles: Improving Fairness and Efficiency Using Estimates of User Preferences in Online Marketplaces

Susan Athey, Dean Karlan, Emil Palikot, Yuan Yuan
November2022

Online platforms often face challenges being both fair (i.e., non-discriminatory) and efficient (i.e., maximizing revenue). Using computer vision algorithms and observational data from a microlending marketplace, we find that choices made by…

Speed Up the Cold-Start Learning in Two-Sided Bandits with Many Arms

Mohsen Bayati, Junyu Cao, Wanning Chen
November2022

Multi-armed bandit (MAB) algorithms are efficient approaches to reduce the opportunity cost of online experimentation and are used by companies to find the best product from periodically refreshed product catalogs. However, these algorithms face…

Rational Inattention When Decisions Take Time

Benjamin Hébert, Michael Woodford
October62022

Decisions take time, and the time taken to reach a decision is likely to be informative about the cost of more precise judgments. We formalize this insight using a dynamic model of optimal evidence accumulation. We provide conditions under which…

CAREER: Transfer Learning for Economic Prediction of Labor Sequence Data

Keyon Vafa, Emil Palikot, Tianyu Du, Ayush Kanodia, Susan Athey, David M. Blei
October2022

Labor economists regularly analyze employment data by fitting predictive models to small, carefully constructed longitudinal survey datasets. Although modern machine learning methods offer promise for such problems, these survey datasets are too…

Conquered but not Vanquished: Complementarities and Indigenous Entrepreneurs in the Shadow of Violence

Alberto Diaz-Cayeros, Saumitra Jha
October2022

Under what conditions can members of poor disenfranchised communities survive and even foster entrepreneurship in environments where violence is cheap? How do such conditions alter ethnic identities and political institutions? In this paper, we…

Does Emotional Matching Between Video Ads and Content Lead to Better Engagement: Evidence from a Large-Scale Field Experiment

Anuj Kapoor, Sridhar Narayanan, Amitt Sharma
October2022

Modern digital advertising platforms allow ads to be targeted in a variety of ways, and generally aim to match the ad being shown with either the user or the content being shown. In this study, we examine the effect of matching in emotional…

How Does A Failure in a Retailer’s Mobile App Impact Purchases in Its Online and Offline Channels?

Unnati Narang, Venkatesh Shankar, Sridhar Narayanan
October2022

How does a failure in a retailer’s mobile app impact shoppers’ purchases in its online (website and app) and offline (brick-and-mortar store) channels? Our main hypothesis is that an app failure has a negative effect on offline purchases and no…

Landscape of Caregiving Innovations: Executive Summary

Susan Wilner Golden
October2022

For individuals who take on the responsibility of caring for another person due to illness, disability, or declining abilities, it can often be challenging, lonely, costly, and exhausting. As the U.S. continues to address the impact of the…

Pure-Strategy Equilibrium in the Generalized First-Price Auction

Michael Ostrovsky, Andrzej Skrzypacz
October2022

We revisit the classic result on the (non-)existence of pure-strategy Nash equilibria in the Generalized First-Price Auction for sponsored search advertising and show that the conclusion may be reversed when ads are ranked based on the product of…

Advertising Media and Target Audience Optimization via High-dimensional Bandits

Wenjia Ba, J. Michael Harrison, Harikesh S. Nair
September2022

We present a data-driven algorithm that advertisers can use to automate their digital ad-campaigns at online publishers. The algorithm enables the advertiser to search across available target audiences and ad-media to find the best possible…

Buy Now Pay (Pain?) Later

Ed deHaan, Jungbae Kim, Ben Lourie, Chenqi Zhu
September2022

“Buy Now Pay Later” (BNPL) is a largely unregulated FinTech innovation that provides consumers with easy access to credit for specific retail purchases. The BNPL market is projected to reach $1 trillion by 2025, but we know little about the…

Does Voluntary Non-Earnings Disclosure Substitute for Redacted Proprietary Contract Information?

Mary E. Barth, Wayne R. Landsman, Xiaoli (Shaolee) Tian, Miaomiao Yu
September2022

This study finds that voluntary non-earnings disclosures substitute for redacted proprietary contract information. When firms redact contract information, they provide more voluntary disclosures and have higher information uncertainty and…