Working Papers

These papers are working drafts of research which often appear in final form in academic journals. The published versions may differ from the working versions provided here.

SSRN Research Paper Series

The Social Science Research Network’s Research Paper Series includes working papers produced by Stanford GSB the Rock Center.

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Conditional Calibration for False Discovery Rate Control under Dependence

William Fithian, Lihua Lei
July222020

We introduce a new class of methods for finite-sample false discovery rate (FDR) control in multiple testing problems with dependent test statistics where the dependence is fully or partially known. Our approach separately calibrates a data-…

Differences Beyond Identity: Perceived Construal Distance and Interparty Animosity in the United States

Austin van Loon, Amir Goldberg, Sameer B. Srivastava
July2020

What leads people to feel negatively about members of other social groups? While recent work has mostly focused on the strength of group identity, we propose that perceptions of intergroup difference, and the animus they catalyze, are often…

The Good, the Bad, and the Complex: Product Design with Imperfect Information

Vladimir Asriyan, Dana Foarta, Victoria Vanasco
July2020

We study the joint determination of product quality and complexity in a rational setting. We introduce a novel notion of complexity, which affects how costly it is for an agent to acquire information about product quality. In our model, an agent…

Third-Degree Price Discrimination versus Uniform Pricing

Dirk Bergemann, Francisco Castro, Gabriel Weintraub
June302020

We compare the revenue of the optimal third-degree price discrimination policy against a uniform pricing policy. A uniform pricing policy offers the same price to all segments of the market. Our main result establishes that for a broad class of…

Combining Experimental and Observational Data to Estimate Treatment Effects on Long Term Outcomes

Susan Athey, Raj Chetty, Guido W. Imbens
June172020

There has been an increase in interest in experimental evaluations to estimate causal effects, partly because their internal validity tends to be high. At the same time, as part of the big data revolution, large, detailed, and representative,…

Augmenting Markets with Mechanisms

Darrell Duffie, Samuel Antill
June162020

We explain how the common practice of size-discovery trade detracts from overall financial market efficiency. At each of a series of size-discovery sessions, traders report their desired trades, generating allocations of the asset and cash that…

Experimental Design in Two-Sided Platforms: An Analysis of Bias

Ramesh Johari, Hannah Li, Gabriel Weintraub
June162020

We develop an analytical framework to study experimental design in two-sided platforms. In the settings we consider, customers rent listings; rented listings are occupied for some amount of time, then become available. Platforms typically use two…

Mean Field Equilibrium: Uniqueness, Existence, and Comparative Statics

Bar Light, Gabriel Weintraub
June42020

The standard solution concept for stochastic games is Markov perfect equilibrium (MPE); however, its computation becomes intractable as the number of players increases. Instead, we consider mean field equilibrium (MFE) that has been popularized…

Corporate Debt Overhang and Credit Policy

Arvind Krishnamurthy, Markus Brunnermeier
June2020

Corporate Debt Overhang and Credit Policy

Markus Brunnermeier
June2020

How Should U.S. Bank Regulators Respond to the COVID-19 Crisis?

Michael Blank, Jeremy C. Stein , Samuel G. Hanson , Adi Sunderam
June2020

Drawing on lessons from the 2007–2009 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and a simple conceptual framework, we examine the response of U.S. bank regulators to the COVID-19 pandemic. We argue that the current regulatory strategy of “watchful waiting…

Information Disclosure in Two-Sided Platforms: Optimizing for Supply

Kostas Bimpikis, Yiangos Papanastasiou, Wenchang Zhang
June2020

While information design has gained significant attention in the recent literature as a tool for shaping consumers’ purchase behavior, little is known about its use and implications in two-sided marketplaces, where both supply and demand…

Searching for Approval

Sumit Agarwal, John Grigsby, Ali Hortaçsu, Gregor Matvos, Amit Seru, Vincent Yao
June2020

We study the interaction of search and application approval in credit markets. We combine a unique dataset, which details search behavior for a large sample of mortgage borrowers, with loan application and rejection decisions. Our data reveal…

Socioeconomic Network Heterogeneity and Pandemic Policy Response

Mohammad Akbarpour, Cody Cook, Aude Marzuoli, Simon Mongey, Abhishek Nagaraj, Matteo Saccarola, Pietro Tebaldi, Shoshana Vasserman, Hanbin Yang
June2020

We develop a heterogeneous-agents network-based model to analyze alternative policies during a pandemic outbreak, accounting for health and economic trade-offs within the same empirical framework. We leverage a variety of data sources, including…

Still the World’s Safe Haven? Redesigning the U.S. Treasury Market After the COVID-19 Crisis

Darrell Duffie
June2020

I review the functionality of the secondary market for U.S. Treasuries in March 2020, when the Covid-19 crisis triggered investor flows that overwhelmed intermediaries. Although the Fed was able to largely restore market liquidity through its…

The Effect of Foreclosures on Homeowners, Tenants, and Landlords

Rebecca Diamond, Adam Guren, Rose Tan
June2020

How costly is foreclosure? Estimates of the social cost of foreclosure typically focus on financial costs. Using random judge assignment instrumental variable (IV) and propensity score matching (PSM) approaches in Cook County, Illinois, we find…

Who Sees the Future? A Deep Learning Language Model Demonstrates the Vision Advantage of Being Small

Paul Vicinanza, Amir Goldberg, Sameer B. Srivastava
May262020

Which groups are most likely to become visionaries that define the future of their field? Because vision is difficult to measure, prior work has reached conflicting conclusions: one perspective emphasizes the benefits of being large,…

Interoperable Payment Systems and the Role of Central Bank Digital Currencies

Darrell Duffie
May182020

I explain the meaning of an interoperable payment system and why interoperability is crucial for efficiency. I review some alternative approaches to interoperability, including central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), hybrid CBDCs, and two-ledger…

Life-Cycle Cost of Transportation Services

Stephen D. Comello, Gunther Glenk, Stefan J. Reichelstein
May2020

The rapid deployment of electric vehicles is widely viewed as a promising path towards decarbonizing the transportation sector. The pace at which electric vehicles will replace those with internal combustion engines will depend to a large…

The Impact of Carbon Disclosure Mandates on Emissions and Financial Operating Performance

Benedikt Downar, Jürgen Ernstberger, Stefan J. Reichelstein, Sebastian Schwenen, Aleksandar Zaklan
May2020

We examine whether a disclosure mandate for greenhouse gas emissions creates stakeholder pressure for firms to subsequently reduce their emissions. For UK-incorporated listed firms such a mandate was adopted in 2013. Using a difference-in-…