Working Papers

These papers are working drafts of research which often appear in final form in academic journals. The published versions may differ from the working versions provided here.

SSRN Research Paper Series

The Social Science Research Network’s Research Paper Series includes working papers produced by Stanford GSB the Rock Center.

You may search for authors and topics and download copies of the work there.

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Flexible and Efficient Contextual Bandits with Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Oracles

Aldo Gael Carranza, Sanath Kumar Krishnamurthy, Susan Athey
February2023

Contextual bandit algorithms often estimate reward models to inform decision-making. However, true rewards can contain action-independent redundancies that are not relevant for decision-making. We show it is more data-efficient to estimate any…

Landscape of Caregiving Innovations: Full Report 2023

Susan Wilner Golden
February2023

For individuals who take on the responsibility of caring for another person due to illness, disability, or declining abilities, it can often be challenging, lonely, costly, and exhausting. As the United States continues to address the…

Neural Design for Genetic Perturbation Experiments

Aldo Pacchiano, Drausin Wulsin, Robert A. Barton, Luis Voloch
February2023

The problem of how to genetically modify cells in order to maximize a certain cellular phenotype has taken center stage in drug development over the last few years (with, for example, genetically edited CAR-T, CAR-NK, and CAR-NKT cells entering…

Battling the Coronavirus Infodemic Among Social Media Users in Africa

Molly Offer-Westort, Leah R. Rosenzweig, Susan Athey
January2023

During a global pandemic, how can we best prompt social media users to demonstrate discernment in sharing information online? We ran a contextual adaptive experiment on Facebook Messenger with users in Kenya and Nigeria and tested 40 combinations…

Boosting Sales and Customer Welfare from Premade Foods (Let the Freshest Chicken Fly Off the Shelf First)

Dan A. Iancu, Jae-Hyuck Park, Erica Plambeck
January2023

[Submitted to Management Science.]

This paper examines a grocery retailer’s management of a premade food product. The retailer’s goal is to maximize a weighted sum of direct profit and customer welfare. Multiple items of the…

Culture in Large and Small Organizations: Perceptions, Beliefs and Experiences

Glenn R. Carroll, Lara Yang
January2023

We attempt here to make some progress on developing a fuller understanding of the relationship between organizational size and culture. In doing so, we report on a survey we administered to a sample of full-time workers (men and women) in the US…

Homemade Foreign Trading

Zhiguo He, Yuehan Wang, Xiaoquan Zhu
January2023

Using cross-border holding data from all custodians in China’s Stock Connect, we provide evidence that Chinese mainland insiders tend to evade the see-through surveillance by round-tripping via the Stock Connect program. After the regulatory…

Investor Composition and Overreaction

Michael Blank, Spencer Yongwook Kwon, Johnny Tang
January2023

Do stock price run-ups predictably revert? We develop a model of financial markets with two types of investors: rational investors and “oversensitive” investors who react excessively to salient public news. The model yields a summary statistic…

Organizational Capacity and Project Dynamics

Dana Foarta, Michael M. Ting
January2023

This paper provides a dynamic theory of the effects of organizational capacity on public policy. Consistent with prevailing accounts, a bureaucratic organization with higher capacity, i.e., a better ability to get things done, is more likely to…

Sophisticated Consumers with Inertia: Long-Term Implications from a Large-Scale Field Experiment

Klaus M. Miller, Navdeep S. Sahni, Avner Strulov-Shlain
January2023

Consumer inertia, the tendency to remain inactive, is a robust and well-documented phenomenon. However, if consumers are aware of their future inertia they can act to mitigate its effects on their outcomes. Using a large-scale randomized field…

Imagined Otherness: Perceived Schematic Difference Can Fuel Dehumanization

Austin van Loon, Amir Goldberg, Sameer B. Srivastava
2023

Why do people withdraw the dignity of humanity from others? Sociologists have focused on the roles of institutional processes through which blatantly dehumanizing norms and narratives diffuse through a population, whereas social psychologists…

Locally Ensconced and Globally Integrated: How Positions in Network Structure Relate to a Language-Based Model of Group Identification

Lara Yang, Amir Goldberg, Sameer B. Srivastava
2023

Shifting attachments to social groups are a constant in the modern era. What accounts for variation in the strength of group identification? Whereas prior work has emphasized group-level properties and individual differences, this article instead…

Strategic Behavior with Tight, Loose and Polarized Norms

Eugen Dimant, Michele J. Gelfand, Anna Hochleitner, Silvia Sonderegger
2023

Descriptive norms — the behavior of other individuals in one’s reference group — play a key role in shaping individual decisions. When characterizing the behavior of others, a standard approach in the literature is to focus on average behavior.…

Heterogeneous-agent asset pricing: Timing and pricing idiosyncratic risks

James D. Paron
December152022

This paper studies the importance of idiosyncratic endowment shocks for aggregate asset prices in a generalized continuous-time framework that accommodates both jumps and recursive preferences. I show that, regardless of the presence of jumps,…

Bank Funding Risk, Reference Rates, and Credit Supply

Harry Cooperman, Darrell Duffie, Stephan Luck, Zachry Wang, Yilin (David) Yang
December2022

Corporate credit lines are drawn more heavily when funding markets are more stressed. This covariance elevates expected bank funding costs. We show that credit supply is inefficiently dampened by the associated debt-overhang cost to bank…

Moral Hazard and the Value of Information: A Structural Approach

Jeremy Bertomeu, Kyle (Jaehoon) Jung, Iván Marinovic
December2022

Executive compensation contracts use information from markets and accounting to elicit efficient incentives. We structurally estimate the contribution of each performance to quantify the relative importance of price versus accounting. For…

Personalized Recommendations in EdTech: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial

Keshav Agrawal, Susan Athey, Ayush Kanodia, Emil Palikot
December2022

We study the impact of personalized content recommendations on the usage of an educational app for children. In a randomized controlled trial, we show that the introduction of personalized recommendations increases the consumption of content in…

The Contribution of High-Skilled Immigrants to Innovation in the United States

Shai Bernstein, Rebecca Diamond, Abhisit Jiranaphawiboon, Timothy James McQuade, Beatriz Pousada
December2022

We characterize the contribution of immigrants to U.S. innovation, both through their direct productivity as well as through their indirect spillover effects on their native collaborators. To do so, we link patent records to a database containing…

Effective and Scalable Programs to Facilitate Labor Market Transitions for Women in Technology

Susan Athey, Emil Palikot
November182022

We describe the design, implementation, and evaluation of a low-cost and scalable program that supports women in Poland in transitioning into jobs in the information technology sector. This program, called “Challenges,” helps…

The Power of Public Confession: Mobilization and Reputation Effects of Disclosing Socially Irresponsible Performance

Lambert Zixin Li, Sarah A. Soule
November162022

A core assumption in the impression management literature is that organizations voluntarily disclose information about their positive social and environmental activities, policies, and performance in order to improve or maintain their reputation…