Publications Supported by Stanford Leadership Institute

We are committed to advancing thought leadership and raising awareness of the critical issues shaping our world.

Through working papers, journal articles, and books, our faculty and collaborators share fresh insights to guide leadership practice, inform policy, and elevate public understanding.

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Journal Article

The Political Economy of Geoeconomic Power

Christopher Clayton, Matteo Maggiori, Jesse Schreger
American Economic Association Papers and Proceedings May2025 Vol. 115 Pages 588–92.

Great powers are increasingly using their economic and financial strength for geopolitical aims. This rise of “geoeconomics” has the potential to reshape the international trade and financial system. This paper examines the role of domestic…

Journal Article

Two-Sided Matching in the Audit Market

Ken Li, Maureen McNichols, Aneesh Raghunandan
The Accounting Review May2025 Vol. 100 Issue 3 Pages 363–394.

We develop and estimate a two-sided matching model of auditors and clients. We find evidence that auditors and clients engage in matching based on their preferences on both observable and unobservable characteristics. This matching appears to…

Working Paper

A Theory of Economic Coercion and Fragmentation

Christopher Clayton, Matteo Maggiori, Jesse Schreger
April2025

Hegemonic powers, like the United States and China, exert influence on other countries by threatening the suspension or alteration of financial and trade relationships. Mechanisms that generate gains from integration, such as external economies…

Journal Article

Choices and Outcomes in Assignment Mechanisms: The Allocation of Deceased Donor Kidneys

Nikhil Agarwal, Charles Hodgson, Paulo Somaini
Econometrica March2025 Vol. 93 Issue 2 Pages 395–438.

While the mechanism design paradigm emphasizes notions of efficiency based on agent preferences, policymakers often focus on alternative objectives. School districts emphasize educational achievement, and transplantation communities focus on…

Other Publication

Precedents Thinking

Stefanos Zenios, Ken Favaro
Harvard Business Review March2025 Vol. 103 Issue 2 Pages 54–63.

What if “old wine in new bottles” is actually the secret to game-­changing innovation? The authors explore what they call precedents thinking, illustrating how radical breakthroughs such as Henry Ford’s assembly line and Reed Hastings’s…

Working Paper

Sustainability and Strategic Differentiation in Unregulated Consumer Goods Markets

Kristina Brecko, Yewon Kim
March2025

Motivated by the disconnect between regulatory discussions and industry reports on voluntary sustainability investments, we examine the market equilibrium for sustainable products in the absence of regulation, focusing on firms’ strategic…

Journal Article

Tax Subsidy Disclosure and Local Economic Effects

Lisa de Simone, Rebecca Lester, Aneesh Raghunandan
Journal of Accounting Research March2025 Vol. 63 Issue 1

We examine if the effectiveness of business tax subsidies varies based on state disclosure laws. The prior accounting literature on government disclosure documents substantial variation in the quality of such disclosures, raising questions about…

Working Paper

Geoeconomic Pressure

Christopher Clayton, Antonio Coppola, Matteo Maggiori, Jesse Schreger
2025

Geoeconomic pressure—the use of existing economic relationships by governments to achieve geopolitical or economic goals—is a prominent feature of global power dynamics. This paper introduces a methodology using large language models (LLMs) to…

Working Paper

The Geography of Capital Allocation in the Euro Area

Roland Beck, Antonio Coppola, Angus Lewis, Matteo Maggiori, Martin Schmitz, Jesse Schreger
2025

We assess Euro Area financial integration correcting for the role of “onshore offshore financial centers” (OOFCs) within the currency union. The OOFCs of Luxembourg, Ireland, and the Netherlands serve dual roles as hubs of investment fund…

Working Paper

How Does Internal Communication Technology Affect Internal Information: Theory and Evidence

Ehsan Azarmsa, Lisa Yao Liu, Suzie Noh
December152024

We study how enhanced internal communication technology influences firms’ internal information production. By developing a model with a headquarters manager and several divisional managers, we formalize two competing economic forces—information…

Journal Article

Majority rule: Do minorities live in ‘tighter’ social worlds?

Morgan Weaving, Michele J. Gelfand
Current Opinion in Psychology December2024 Vol. 60

Exploring social norms through a diversity perspective, this review examines whether minorities live in ‘tighter’ worlds, wherein they are subject to stricter rules and punishments. Integrating research from psychology, economics, and…

Working Paper

Aligning Model Properties via Conformal Risk Control

William Overman, Jacqueline Jil Vallon, Mohsen Bayati
November42024

AI model alignment is crucial due to inadvertent biases in training data and the underspecified machine learning pipeline, where models with excellent test metrics may not meet end-user requirements. While post-training alignment via human…

Working Paper

Effective and Equitable Congestion Pricing: New York City and Beyond

Michael Ostrovsky, Frank Yang
November2024

In this paper, we argue that the New York City congestion pricing plan whose implementation was paused in the summer of 2024 had a major shortcoming: as designed, it would have had a much more severe impact on the drivers of personal vehicles…

Working Paper

Regulating an Innovative Industry

Steven Callander, Hongyi Li
October112024

Innovations bring many benefits to society, but they can also bring harm. We study the problem of a regulator deciding whether to approve an innovation where information about the impact of the innovation is held within the firms that are…

Working Paper

Decoding Social Disclosure Decisions: A Field Experiment with Workforce Diversity Data

Jung Ho Choi, Maureen McNichols, Maximilian Muhn
October2024

In recent years, U.S. public companies have increasingly begun to voluntarily disclose official workforce diversity data (i.e., EEO-1 reports), which they previously only confidentially filed with the U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission…

Journal Article

Evaluating Large Language Models in Theory of Mind Tasks

Michal Kosinski
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences October2024 Vol. 121 Issue 45

Eleven large language models (LLMs) were assessed using 40 bespoke false-belief tasks, considered a gold standard in testing theory of mind (ToM) in humans. Each task included a false-belief scenario, three closely matched true-belief control…

Journal Article

Leveraging Body-Worn Camera Footage to Assess the Effects of Training on Officer Communication During Traffic Stops

Nicholas P. Camp, Rob Voigt, MarYam G. Hamedani, Dan Jurafsky, Jennifer Eberhardt
PNAS Nexus September172024 Vol. 3 Issue 9

Can training police officers on how to best interact with the public actually improve their interactions with community members? This has been a challenging question to answer. Interpersonal aspects of policing are consequential but largely…

Journal Article

Unpaired Kidney Exchange: Overcoming Double Coincidence of Wants without Money

Mohammad Akbarpour, Julien Combe, Yinghua He, Victor Hiller, Robert Shimer, Olivier Tercieux
The Review of Economic Studies September12024

For an incompatible patient-donor pair, kidney exchanges often forbid receipt-before-donation (the patient receives a kidney before the donor donates) and donation-before-receipt, causing a double-coincidence-of-wants problem. Our proposed…

Working Paper

Can U.S. Treasury Markets Add and Subtract?

Roberto Gómez-Cram, Howard Kung, Hanno Lustig
August2024

The CBO cost releases of legislative proposals contain valuable news about surpluses priced in by Treasury investors. Using daily event windows, we find that cost releases with large negative cash flows lowered Treasury valuations by more than 20…

Journal Article

Fraudulent Financial Reporting and the Consequences for Employees

Jung Ho Choi, Brandon Gipper
Journal of Accounting and Economics August2024 Vol. 78 Issue 1

We combine U.S. Census data with SEC enforcement actions to examine employees’ outcomes, such as wages and turnover, before, during, and after periods of fraudulent financial reporting. We find that fraud firms’ employees lose about 50% of…

Working Paper

Government Debt in Mature Economies. Safe or Risky?

Roberto Gómez-Cram, Howard Kung, Hanno Lustig
August2024

Governments and central banks can protect either taxpayers or bondholders from government spending shocks. When they choose to insulate taxpayers, government bond yields need to increase in response to unfunded fiscal expansions as the government…

Journal Article

Observers of Social Media Discussions about Racial Discrimination Condemn Denial but Also Adopt It

Kiara L. Sanchez, Maggie Harrington, Cinoo Lee, Jennifer Eberhardt
Scientific Reports August2024 Vol. 14

Sharing experiences with racism (racial discrimination disclosure) has the power to raise awareness of discrimination and spur meaningful conversations about race. Sharing these experiences with racism on social media may prompt a range…

Journal Article

Analysis of the Privacy-Performance Tradeoff of Reference Testing in Forensic Investigative Genetic Genealogy

Yuchen Hu, Lawrence M. Wein
Journal of Forensic Sciences July2024

During an investigation using Forensic Investigative Genetic Genealogy, which is a novel approach for solving violent crimes and identifying human remains, reference testing—when law enforcement requests a DNA sample from a person in a partially…

Working Paper

Do Mergers and Acquisitions Improve Efficiency? Evidence from Power Plants

Mert Demirer, Ömer Karaduman
July2024

Using rich data on hourly physical productivity and thousands of ownership changes from U.S. power plants, we study the effects of acquisitions on efficiency and underlying mechanisms. We find a 2% average increase in efficiency for acquired…

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