Working Papers

These papers are working drafts of research which often appear in final form in academic journals. The published versions may differ from the working versions provided here.

SSRN Research Paper Series

The Social Science Research Network’s Research Paper Series includes working papers produced by Stanford GSB the Rock Center.

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Corporate Governance, Incentives, and Tax Avoidance

David F. Larcker, Christopher S. Armstrong, Jennifer Blouin, Alan D. Jagolinzer
February252015

We examine the link between corporate governance, managerial incentives, and corporate tax avoidance. Similar to other investment opportunities that involve risky expected cash flows, unresolved agency problems may lead managers to engage in more…

Crossing Party Lines: The Effects of Information on Redistributive Politics

Katherine Casey
February242015

Many lament that weak accountability and poor governance impede economic development in Africa. Politicians rely on ethnic allegiances that deliver the vote irrespective of performance, dampening electoral incentives. Giving voters…

The failure of models that predict failure: Distance, incentives, and defaults

Amit Seru, Uday Rajan, Vikrant Vig
February2015

Statistical default models, widely used to assess default risk, fail to account for a change in the relations between different variables resulting from an underlying change in agent behavior. We demonstrate this phenomenon using data on…

Efficiency of Flexible Budgetary Institutions

Renee Bowen, Ying Chen, Hulya Eraslan, Jan Zapal
January52015

Which budgetary institutions result in efficient provision of public goods? We analyze a model with two parties bargaining over the allocation to a public good each period. Parties place different values on the public good, and these…

Did the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) Lead to Risky Lending?

Sumit Agarwal, Efraim Benmelech, Nittai Bergman, Amit Seru
January2015

Yes, it did. We use exogenous variation in banks’ incentives to conform to the standards of the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) around regulatory exam dates to trace out the effect of the CRA on lending activity. Our empirical strategy compares…

Long-Term Care Utility and Late-in-Life Saving

John Ameriks, Joseph Briggs, Andrew Caplin, Matthew D. Shapiro, Christopher Tonetti
January2015

Older wealthholders spend down assets slowly. To study this pattern, the paper introduces health-dependent utility into a model in which different preferences for bequests, expenditures when in need of long-term care (LTC), and ordinary…

The Persistence of Lenient Market Categories

Elizabeth G. Pontikes, William P. Barnett
January2015

Research across disciplines presumes that market categories will have strong boundaries. Categories without well-defined boundaries typically are not useful so are expected to fade away. We suggest many contexts contain lenient market…

A Dynamic Process Model of Private Politics: Activist Targeting and Corporate Receptivity to Social Challenges

Mary-Hunter McDonnell , Brayden King , Sarah A. Soule
2015

This project explores whether and how corporations become more receptive to social activist challenges over time. Drawing from social movement theory, we suggest a dynamic process through which contentious interactions lead to increased…

Evidence of Strategic Upcoding in Medicare Claims Data

Hamsa Bastani, Joel Goh, Mohsen Bayati
2015

Recent Medicare legislation has been directed at improving patient care quality by stopping reimbursement of hospital-acquired conditions (HACs). However, this policy may be undermined if some providers respond by upcoding, a practice…

The Missing “One-Offs”: The Hidden Supply of High-Achieving, Low-Income Students

Caroline Hoxby, Christopher Avery
2015

We show that the vast majority of low-income high achievers do not apply to any selective college. This is despite the fact that selective institutions typically cost them less, owing to generous financial aid, than the two-year and nonselective…

Resolution of Failing Central Counterparties

Darrell Duffie
December172014

A central counterparty (CCP) is a financial market utility that lowers counterparty default risk on specified financial contracts by acting as a buyer to every seller, and as a seller to every buyer. When at risk of failure, a CCP could be…

Managing on Rugged Landscapes

Steven Callander, Niko Matouschek
December112014

An emergent theme in the study of organizations is the broad differences in managerial practice and performance across firms. We develop an explanation for these phenomena that turns on the complexity of the environments that firms…

Estimating the Incidence of Government Spending

Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato, Philippe Wingender
December2014

This paper analyzes the economic incidence of sustained changes in federal government spending at the local level. We use a new identification strategy to isolate geographical variation in formula-based federal spending and develop three sets of…

External Validity in Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Designs

Marinho Bertanha, Guido W. Imbens
December2014

Many empirical studies use Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity (FRD) designs to identify treatment effects when the receipt of treatment is potentially correlated to outcomes. Existing FRD methods identify the local average treatment effect (LATE) on…

Durable Policy, Political Accountability, and Active Waste

Steven Callander, Davin Raiha
November122014

The policy choices of governments are frequently durable. From the building of bridges to the creation of social programs, investments in public infrastructure typically last well beyond a single electoral cycle. In this paper we…

A Theory of Competitive Partisan Lawmaking

Keith Krehbiel, Alan Wiseman, Adam Meirowitz
November72014

Motivated by polar extremes of monopartisanship and nonpartisanship in existing literature on parties in legislatures, we introduce and analyze a more moderate theory of competitive partisan lawmaking. The distinguishing feature of competitive…

Pressed for Time? Goal Conflict Shapes How Time is Perceived, Spent, and Valued

Jordan Etkin, Ioannis Evangelidis, Jennifer Aaker
October302014

Consumers often feel pressed for time, but why? This research provides a novel answer to this question: subjective perceptions of goal conflict. We show that beyond the number of goals competing for their time, perceived conflict between goals…

Strategic Risk Shifting and the Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle

Zhiyao Chen, Ilya A. Strebulaev, Yuhang Xing, Xiaoyan Zhang
October292014

We find strong empirical support for the risk-shifting mechanism to account for the puzzling negative relation between idiosyncratic volatility and future stock returns documented by Ang, Hodrick, Xing, and Zhang (2006). First, equity holders…

Delegated Bidding and the Allocative Effects of Alternative Accounting Rules

Iván Marinovic
October52014

I study the efficiency of three prominent accounting rules in a delegated bidding setting where bidders’ incentives are tied to both accounting income and economic surplus. Trade efficiency is maximized (minimized) by the value-in-use method (…

Conservatism and the Information Content of Earnings

Mary E. Barth, Wayne R. Landsman, Vivek Raval, Sean Wang
October2014

This study finds that more conservative earnings have lower information content in that higher conditional conservatism decreases the speed with which equity investor disagreement and uncertainty resolve at earnings announcements. We find that a…