Working Papers

These papers are working drafts of research which often appear in final form in academic journals. The published versions may differ from the working versions provided here.

SSRN Research Paper Series

The Social Science Research Network’s Research Paper Series includes working papers produced by Stanford GSB the Rock Center.

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Firm-Employee Matching: An Industry Study of American Lawyers

Paul Oyer, Scott Schaefer
October2012

We study the sources of match-specific value at large American law firms by analyzing how graduates of law schools group into law firms. We measure the degree to which lawyers from certain schools concentrate within firms and then analyze how…

The United States Labor Market: Status Quo or A New Normal?

Edward Lazear, James R. Spletzer
September2012

The recession of 2007-09 witnessed high rates of unemployment that have been slow to recede. This has led many to conclude that structural changes have occurred in the labor market and that the economy will not return to the low rates of…

Why Bosses Matter

Edward Lazear, Kathryn Shaw, Christopher T. Stanton
August2012

How and by how much do supervisors enhance worker productivity? Using a company-based data set on the productivity of technology-based services workers, supervisor effects are estimated and found to be large. Replacing a boss who is in the…

Earnings Management and Earnings Quality: Theory and Evidence

Anne Beyer, Ilan Guttman, Iván Marinovic
July2012

We study a dynamic model of earnings quality and earnings management in which firms take into account both long- and short-term considerations when reporting earnings. In addition to providing predictions about time series properties of earnings…

Redesigning Credit Derivatives to Better Cover Sovereign Default Risk

Darrell Duffie, Mohit Thukral
May32012

We propose a redesign of sovereign Credit Default Swaps (CDS). Under our proposal, a notional CDS position of €100 can be settled by the delivery of whatever package of instruments a sovereign gives in exchange for legacy bonds with a face value…

Too-Systemic-To-Fail: What Option Markets Imply About Sector-Wide Government Guarantees

Bryan T. Kelly, Hanno Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
March212012

We examine the pricing of financial crash insurance during the 2007-2009 financial crisis in U.S. option markets. A large amount of aggregate tail risk is missing from the price of financial sector crash insurance during the financial crisis. The…

Conservatism and Aggregation: The Effect on Cost of Equity Capital and the Efficiency of Debt Contracts

Anne Beyer
March122012

This paper studies the joint effect of conservatism and aggregation on the cost of equity capital and the efficiency of debt contracts. In the model, a firm’s two assets are valued at either the lower-of-cost-or-market or fair value and the…

Debt Overhang and Capital Regulation

Anat R. Admati, Peter M. DeMarzo, Martin F. Hellwig, Paul Pfleiderer
March2012

We analyze shareholders’ incentives to change the leverage of a firm that has already borrowed substantially. As a result of debt overhang, shareholders have incentives to resist reductions in leverage that make the remaining debt safer. This…

Social Ties and User-Generated Content: Evidence from an Online Social Network

Harikesh S. Nair, Reto Hofstetter, Scott Shriver
February2012

We use variation in wind speeds at surfing locations in Switzerland as exogenous shifters of users’ propensity to post content about their surfing activity onto an online social network. We exploit this variation to test whether users online…

Market Making Under the Proposed Volcker Rule

Darrell Duffie
January162012

This submission discusses implications for the quality and safety of financial markets of proposed rules implementing the market-making provisions of section 13 of the Bank Holding Company Act, commonly known as the “Volcker Rule.” The proposed…

Sizing Up Repo

Arvind Krishnamurthy, Stefan Nagel, Dmitry Orlov
January2012

We measure the repo funding extended by money market funds (MMF) and securities lenders to the shadow banking system, including quantities, haircuts, and repo rates by type of underlying collateral. We find that repo played only a small role in…

Awe Expands Peoples Perception of Time, Alters Decision Making, and Enhances Well-Being

Jennifer Aaker, Melani Rudd, Kathleen Vohs
2012

When do people feel as if they are rich in time? Not often, research and daily experience suggest. However, three experiments showed that participants who felt awe, relative to other emotions, felt they had more time available (Experiments 1, 3)…

Dissemination, Direct-Access Information Technology and Information Asymmetry

Elizabeth Blankespoor, Gregory Miller, Hal White
2012

Firm disclosures often reach only a portion of investors, which results in information asymmetry among investors, and therefore lower market liquidity. This issue is particularly salient for firms that are not highly visible, as they tend not to…

Environmental Performance under Voluntary versus Mandatory Disclosure

Basak Kalkanci, Erjie Ang, Erica Plambeck
2012

Governments are beginning to mandate that firms disclose information about social and environmental impacts in their supply chains (e.g., regarding conflict minerals and greenhouse gas emissions). This paper shows…

Estimating Causal Installed-Base Effects: A Bias-Correction Approach

Harikesh S. Nair, Sridhar Narayanan
2012

New empirical models of consumer demand that incorporate social preferences, observational learning, word-of-mouth or network effects have the feature that the adoption of others in the reference group - the installed-base - has a causal effect…

Fair value accounting for financial instruments: Does it improve the association between bank leverage and credit risk?

Elizabeth Blankespoor, Thomas Linsmeier, Kathy Petroni, Catherine Shakespeare
2012

Many have argued that financial statements created under an accounting model that measures financial instruments at fair value would not fairly represent a banks business model. In this study we examine whether financial statements using fair…

Games with Unawareness

Yossi Feinberg
2012

We provide a tool to model and solve strategic situations where players’ perceptions are limited, in the sense that they may only be aware of, or model, some of the aspects of the strategic situations at hand, as well as situations where players…

Gridlock and Delegation in a Changing World

Steven Callander, Keith Krehbiel
2012

Fixed statutes and regulations often have variable consequences over time. If left unattended, such drift can severely erode the performance of government as an institution of representation. To better understand the mechanics of policy-making in…

Legislative Organization and Ideal-Point Bias

Keith Krehbiel, Zachary Peksowitz
2012

Four pure types of legislative organization are characterized as data generating processes for commonly used measures of preferences or, in the spatial vernacular, ideal points. The types of legislative organization are differentiated by their…

Not Only What But also When: A Theory of Dynamic Voluntary Disclosure

Andrzej Skrzypacz, Ilan Guttman, Ilan Kremer
2012

We study a dynamic strategic model of voluntary disclosure of multiple pieces of information. Such situations are prevalent in real life, e.g., in corporate disclosure environments that are characterized by information asymmetry between the firm…