Working Papers

These papers are working drafts of research which often appear in final form in academic journals. The published versions may differ from the working versions provided here.

SSRN Research Paper Series

The Social Science Research Network’s Research Paper Series includes working papers produced by Stanford GSB the Rock Center.

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U.S. Dependence on Oil in 2008: Facts, Figures and Context

Robert A. Burgelman, Andrew Grove, Debra Schifrin
2008

In 2007 and 2008, the price of oil skyrocketed, hitting historic highs. The corresponding increase in gas price was felt sharply in the United States by ordinary people, industries, the military and the government. Citizens were spending more and…

Why Does Popcorn Cost So Much At The Movies? An Empirical Analysis of Metering Price Discrimination

Wesley R. Hartmann, Richard Gil
2008

Prices for goods such as blades for razors, ink for printers and concessions at movies are often set well above cost. This paper empirically analyzes concession sales data from a chain of Spanish theaters to demonstrate that high prices on…

Personnel Economics

Edward Lazear, Paul Oyer
October2007

In this review of the personnel economics literature, we introduce key topics of personnel economics, focus on some relatively new findings that have emerged since prior reviews of some or all of the personnel economics literature, and suggest…

Quantity-Based Price Discrimination Using Frequency Reward Programs

Wesley R. Hartmann, V. Brian Viard
September292007

This paper explores the quantity-based price discrimination of reward programs by analyzing estimates from a dynamic structural model of consumer choice applied to a reward program for a golf course. The expected value of participating in the…

Agency problems, Screening and Increasing Credit Lines

Yuliy Sannikov
August142007

We propose a model in which an optimal dynamic financing contract for a cash-constrained entrepreneur is a credit line with a growing credit limit. This simple contract, which resembles those used in practice, presents a good benchmark to…

Measuring Marketing-Mix Effects in the Video-Game Console Market

Harikesh S. Nair, Pradeep K. Chintagunta, R. Sukumar
July2007

We investigate the short and long run effects of prices and software availability on the category-level diffusion of 32/64 bit video-game consoles in the US. We adopt an estimation framework that allows for a flexible…

Timing of Employee Stock Option Exercises and the Cost of Stock Option Grants

Christopher S. Armstrong, Alan D. Jagolinzer , David F. Larcker
June12007

This study examines how executives’ and lower-level employees’ option exercise behavior affects firms’ stock option grant cost estimates. Prior research suggests that option grant cost estimates are not materially different when calculated a…

Return Persistence and Fund Flows in the Worst Performing Mutual Funds

Jonathan B. Berk, Ian Tonks
April2007

We document that the observed persistence amongst the worst performing actively managed mutual funds is attributable to funds that have performed poorly both in the current and prior year. We demonstrate that this persistence results from an…

Mean-Squared-Error Calculations for Average Treatment Effects

Guido W. Imbens, Whitney K. Newey, Geert Ridder
January42007

This paper develops a new nonparametric series estimator for the average treatment effect for the case with unconfounded treatment assignment, that is, where selection for treatment is on observables. The new estimator is efficient. In addition…

Ability and Employer Learning: Evidence from the Economist Labor Market

Paul Oyer
2007

I study the human capital development and firm-worker matching processes for PhD economists. This group is useful for this purpose because the types of jobs they hold can be easily categorized and they have an observable productivity measure (…

Adaptive Self-Explication of Multi-Attribute Preferences

V. “Seenu” Srinivasan, Oded Netzer
2007

In this research we propose a web-based adaptive self-explicated approach for multi-attribute preference measurement (conjoint analysis) with a large number (ten or more) of attributes. In the empirical application reported here the proposed…

Computational Methods for Oblivious Equilibrium

Lanier Benkard, Benjamin Roy
2007

Oblivious equilibrium is a new solution concept for approximating Markov perfect equilibrium in dynamic models of imperfect competition among heterogeneous firms and has recently been used in multiple economic studies. In this paper, we present…

Cross-Boundary Disruptors: Powerful Inter-Industry Entrepreneurial Change Agents

Robert A. Burgelman, Andrew Grove
2007

Based on comparative case studies of Apple Computers strategic actions in the music and cellular telephony industries, we develop the concept of cross-boundary disruptor as a new type of entrepreneurial actor in inter-industry strategic dynamics…

Customer Compliance with Presumed Market Research Goals: Motivational Drivers of Negative Service Evaluations

Itamar Simonson, Chezy Ofir, Song-Oh Yoon
2007

The findings and value of market research depend critically on consumers understanding of the research objectives and their roles. The present research presents a three-phase investigation of the impact of research participants theories about…

A Decomposition Algorithm for N-Player Games

Srihari Govindan, Robert Wilson
2007

An N-player game can be approximated by adding a coordinator who interacts bilaterally with each player. The coordinator proposes strategies to the players, and his payoff is maximized when each player’s optimal reply agrees with his proposal.…

Determinants of Margins in the Distribution Channel: An Empirical Investigation

Michaela Draganska, Daniel Klapper, Sofia B. Villas-Boas
2007

In this paper we describe how margins in the channel vary over time within a product category and identify the market, manufacturer, and retailer characteristics that explain this variation. To obtain the equilibrium margins, we explicitly model…

Do Frequency Reward Programs Create Switching Costs? A Dynamic Structural Analysis of Demand in a Reward Program

Wesley R. Hartmann, V. Viard
2007

This paper examines a common assertion that customers in reward programs become “locked in” as they accumulate credits toward earning a reward. We define a measure of switching costs and use a dynamic structural model of demand in a reward…

Estimating Dynamic Models of Imperfect Competition

Lanier Benkard, Patrick Bajari, Jonathan Levin
2007

We describe a two-step algorithm for estimating dynamic games under the assumption that behavior is consistent with Markov perfect equilibrium. In the first step, the policy functions and the law of motion for the state variables are estimated.…

A Formal Theory of Multiple Category Memberships and Two Empirical Tests

Michael T. Hannan, Greta Hsu, Ozgecan Kocak
2007

This paper integrates two perspectives on why producers who span categories suffer social and/or economic disadvantage. According to the audience-side perspective, audience members refer to established categories to make sense of producers; they…

A Hidden Markov Model of Customer Relationship Dynamics

Oded Netzer, James M. Lattin, V. “Seenu” Srinivasan
2007

This research models the dynamics of customer relationships using typical transaction data. It permits the evaluation of the effectiveness of customer-brand encounters on the dynamics of customer relationships and the subsequent buying behavior.…