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The Hot Hand Fallacy: Cognitive Mistakes or Equilibrium Adjustments? Evidence from Baseball
We test for a ‘hot hand’ (i.e., short-term streakiness in performance) in Major League Baseball using panel data. We find strong evidence for its existence in all ten statistical categories we consider. The magnitudes are significant; being…
When Cheating Would Make You a Cheater: Implicating the Self Prevents Unethical Behavior
In 3 experiments using 2 different paradigms, people were less likely to cheat for personal gain when a subtle change in phrasing framed such behavior as diagnostic of an undesirable identity. Participants were given the opportunity to claim…
Fallacies, Irrelevant Facts, and Myths in the Discussion of Capital Regulation: Why Bank Equity is Not Expensive
We examine the pervasive view that “equity is expensive,” which leads to claims that high capital requirements are costly for society and would affect credit markets adversely. We find that arguments made to support this view are fallacious,…
Informational Spillovers from Protests Against Corporations: A Tale of Walmart and Target
In this study of the impact of protests against Walmart (a first entrant) on Target (a second entrant) from 1998 to 2008 in U.S. geographic markets, we develop and test a theory of information spillovers from protests against corporations…
Catch-Up and Fall-Back Through Innovation and Imitation
Will fast growing emerging economies sustain rapid growth rates until they “catch-up” to the technology frontier? Are there incentives for some developed countries to free-ride off of innovators and optimally “fall-back” relative to the…
The Politics of Accounting Standard Setting: A Review of Empirical Research
We provide an overview of the empirical literature on the politics of accounting standard setting, focusing on the U.S. Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB). Although it is clear from casual observation that politics sometimes plays a…
Does it Pay to Invest in Art? A Selection-Corrected Returns Perspective
This paper shows the importance of correcting for sample selection when investing in illiquid assets with endogenous trading. Using a large sample of 20,538 paintings that were sold repeatedly at auction between 1972 and 2010, we find that…
Dimensions of Political Homophily: Isolating Choice Homophily along Political Characteristics
How do political predispositions shape the social relationships individuals create? To address these issues, we leverage the domain of online dating, in which we can observe people’s political identities and preferences before they express a…
Manifestations of User Personality in Website Choice and Behaviour on Online Social Networks
Individual differences in personality affect users’ online activities as much as they do in the offline world. This work, based on a sample of over a third of a million users, examines how users’ behaviour in the online environment, captured by…
Separation Anxiety: The Impact of CEO Divorce on Shareholders
There are at least three potential ways in which a CEO divorce might impact a corporation and its shareholders:
- It might reduce the executive’s control or influence over the organization.
- It might affect his or her…
Sneak Preview: How ISS Dictates Equity Plan Design
Proxy advisory firms have long been known to influence the voting decisions of institutional investors. Now, a growing body of evidence suggests that they also influence company decisions in equity plan design. Should shareholders and the SEC be…
Stability and Competitive Equilibrium in Trading Networks
We introduce a model in which agents in a network can trade via bilateral contracts. We find that when continuous transfers are allowed and utilities are quasilinear, the full substitutability of preferences is sufficient to guarantee the…
When Worlds Collide in Cyberspace: How Boundary Work in Online Social Networks Impacts Professional Relationships
As employees increasingly interact with their professional contacts in online social networks that are personal in nature, such as Facebook or Twitter, they are likely to experience a collision of their professional and personal identities…
Personality, Gender, and Age in the Language of Social Media: The Open-Vocabulary Approach
We analyzed 700 million words, phrases, and topic instances collected from the Facebook messages of 75,000 volunteers, who also took standard personality tests, and found striking variations in language with personality, gender, and age. In our…
The Ins and Outs of Large Scale Asset Purchases
Large scale asset purchases (“LSAPs,” also often referred to as quantitative easing or “QE”) are a tool first deployed by the Bank of Japan in 2001, and then used more widely by the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and the Bank of England…
Financial Reporting for Employee Stock Options: Liabilities or Equity?
This study seeks to determine whether employee stock options share key characteristics of liabilities or equity. Consistent with warrant pricing theory, we find that common equity risk and expected return are negatively associated with the extent…
Market-Based Bank Capital Regulation
Today’s regulatory rules, especially the easily-manipulated measures of regulatory capital, have led to costly bank failures. We design a robust regulatory system such that (i) bank losses are credibly borne by the private sector (ii)…
Pioneering Women on Boards: Pathways of the First Female Directors
We examine the biographies and professional experiences of the female directors of Fortune 250 companies. How have pathways for women changed? Are the opportunities and obstacles today the same or different?
Time of Use Pricing and the Levelized Cost of Intermittent Power Generation
Weak > strong: The ironic effect of argument strength on supportive advocacy
When people seek support for a cause, they typically present the strongest case they can muster. The present research suggests that under some conditions, the opposite strategy may be superior—in particular, presenting weak rather than strong…