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Reply to “Rational Bubbles in UK Housing Markets”
In Giglio, Maggiori, and Stroebel (2016), we propose and implement a new test for classic rational bubbles. Such bubbles derive their value from each agent’s rational expectation of being able to resell the bubble claims to the next agent.…
Risk Premia and the Real Effects of Money
This paper proposes a flexible-price theory of the role of money in an economy with incomplete idiosyncratic risk sharing. When the risk premium goes up, money provides a safe store of value that prevents interest rates from falling, reducing…
Technology and Time Inconsistency
Policy makers have time-inconsistent preferences if they fear losing power or are endowed with hyperbolic discount factors. Politicians may thus seek to influence future policy choices, for example, by investing in green technologies that…
The Financing of Local Government in China: Stimulus Loan Wanes and Shadow Banking Waxes
The upsurge of shadow banking is typically driven by rising financing demand from certain real sectors. In China, the 4 trillion yuan stimulus package in 2009 was behind the rapid growth of shadow banking after 2012, expediting the development of…
The Good, the Bad, and the Complex: Product Design with Imperfect Information
We study the joint determination of product quality and complexity in a rational setting. We introduce a novel notion of complexity, which affects how costly it is for an agent to acquire information about product quality. In our model, an agent…
The Real‐Time Cognitive Value of Eating Kale, Helping, and Doing Something Special: “Concurrent Experience Evaluation” (CEE), Its Drivers and Moderators, and Research Directions
After reviewing prior work regarding components of experience value, I present the concept of “Concurrent Experience Evaluation,” which expands the prior focus on experienced pain and pleasure in response to a stimulus/event. Specifically, the…
The Scope of Sequential Screening with Ex-Post Participation Constraints
We study the classic sequential screening problem in the presence of ex post participation constraints. We establish necessary and sufficient conditions that determine when the optimal selling mechanism is either static or sequential. In the…
Working Around Hierarchy: Resident and Medical Assistant Teaming
Background: In health care, hierarchy can facilitate getting work done efficiently. It can also hinder performance by suppressing valuable contributions from lower-positioned individuals. Team-based care could mitigate negative…
Third-Degree Price Discrimination versus Uniform Pricing
We compare the revenue of the optimal third-degree price discrimination policy against a uniform pricing policy. A uniform pricing policy offers the same price to all segments of the market. Our main result establishes that for a broad class of…
Combining Experimental and Observational Data to Estimate Treatment Effects on Long Term Outcomes
There has been an increase in interest in experimental evaluations to estimate causal effects, partly because their internal validity tends to be high. At the same time, as part of the big data revolution, large, detailed, and representative,…
Augmenting Markets with Mechanisms
We explain how the common practice of size-discovery trade detracts from overall financial market efficiency. At each of a series of size-discovery sessions, traders report their desired trades, generating allocations of the asset and cash that…
Experimental Design in Two-Sided Platforms: An Analysis of Bias
We develop an analytical framework to study experimental design in two-sided platforms. In the settings we consider, customers rent listings; rented listings are occupied for some amount of time, then become available. Platforms typically use two…
A Primer on Restructuring Your Company’s Finances
Government responses to the Covid-19 pandemic have closed down a significant portion of the global economy, creating severe liquidity problems for many companies at a time when the corporate sector is historically highly leveraged across the…
Universal Vote-By-Mail Has No Impact on Partisan Turnout or Vote Share
In response to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), many scholars and policy makers are urging the United States to expand voting-by-mail programs to safeguard the electoral process. What are the effects of vote-by-mail? In this paper, we provide…
Mean Field Equilibrium: Uniqueness, Existence, and Comparative Statics
The standard solution concept for stochastic games is Markov perfect equilibrium (MPE); however, its computation becomes intractable as the number of players increases. Instead, we consider mean field equilibrium (MFE) that has been popularized…
Convergence of Optimal Expected Utility for a Sequence of Discrete-Time Markets
We examine Kreps’ conjecture that optimal expected utility in the classic Black-Scholes-Merton economy is the limit of optimal expected utility for a sequence of discrete‐time economies that “approach” the BSM economy in a natural sense:…
Corporate Debt Overhang and Credit Policy
A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of the Number of Samples to Collect and Test From a Sexual Assault
Although the backlog of untested sexual assault kits in the United States is starting to be addressed, many municipalities are opting for selective testing of samples within a kit, where only the most probative samples are tested. We use data…
Duality in Diversity: How Intrapersonal and Interpersonal Cultural Heterogeneity Relate to Firm Performance
How does cultural heterogeneity in an organization relate to its underlying capacity for execution and innovation? Existing literature often understands cultural diversity as presenting a tradeoff between task coordination and creative…