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AI Disruption: Industrial Value Chains
AI is revolutionizing industrial value chains by accelerating operations, enhancing supply chain resilience, and mitigating critical labor shortages. To realize these gains, companies must first bridge potentially significant data gaps while…
Machine Learning Predictions for Assessing Hard-to-Place Deceased Donor Kidneys
Rationale & Objective
Nearly 20% of deceased donor kidneys in the United States are placed “out-of-sequence” (ie, outside of standard allocation rules). The rationale for out-of-sequence placements is to expedite placement of kidneys…
Making Organizational Culture Great
Leaders remain skeptical about the power of organizational culture even though extensive research shows that it is crucial to business success. Can a manager really influence an organization’s culture, or do executives just try to impose a…
Veto Players and Policy Development
We analyze the effects of veto players when the set of available policies isn’t exogenously fixed, but rather determined by policy developers who work to craft new high-quality proposals. If veto players are moderate, there is active competition…
Can Explanations Improve Recommendations? Evidence from Prediction-Informed Explanations
Recommender systems are central to how modern digital platforms connect users with content, yet they face a fundamental trade-off between predictive accuracy and explainability. Black-box models achieve strong performance but lack the…
Bond Convenience Yields in the Eurozone Currency Union
This paper analyzes bond convenience yields in a currency union. The intertemporal government budget constraint requires member countries’ bond convenience yields and default spreads to adjust in response to shocks to their government surpluses.…
Where Are Managers Needed? How Culture and Coordinative Complexity Predict the Evolution of Reporting Relationships in Organizations
Organization redesign often raises a central question: Where are managers needed? A potential substitute for formal supervision by managers is interpersonal cultural alignment, which can ease coordination between colleagues. Yet prior…
AI Financial Advice: Supply, Demand, and Life Cycle Implications
We develop and implement a novel method to study personal financial advice from Large Language Models (LLMs). Studying this advice is challenging because it depends on the model used (i.e., supply), the questions individuals ask (i.e., demand),…
Behind Closed Doors: The Uncommunal Feminine Stereotype
Theories of gender inequality in the workplace rely heavily on stereotypes that describe women as more communal (e.g., warm and kind) and less agentic (e.g., assertive and forceful) than men. In this paper, we highlight the existence of an …
Policy Decay and Political Competition
Modern political systems exist not in a vacuum but in a world of continuous technological, social and economic change. This change means policies designed for today’s world will fit only imperfectly tomorrow, a phenomenon they refer to as …
Dissolving Boundaries in the Metaverse: Implications of Loosened Constraints on Identity, Time, Space, and Financial Access for Marketing Research
The Metaverse is often portrayed as a novel context for digital consumption, but this paper argues that its deeper value lies in its potential as a behavioral observatory. By loosening four traditional consumer constraints of identity, time,…
The Wealth of Wealthholders
Wealth, though crucial for modeling economic behavior and understanding well-being, is difficult to measure in surveys. This paper introduces a new, comprehensive account-by-account approach for eliciting asset holding. This approach is…
Who Gains When Interest Rates Fall?
We study the interest-rate sensitivity of household wealth in a realistic life-cycle model. The model predicts that middle-aged and wealthier households should hold more long-term assets, as observed in the US data. Consequently, optimal…
From Tool to Teammate in a Randomized Controlled Trial of Clinician-AI Collaborative Workflows for Diagnosis
Early studies of large language models (LLMs) in clinical settings have largely treated artificial intelligence (AI) as a tool rather than an active collaborator. As LLMs demonstrate expert-level diagnostic performance, the focus shifts from…
Can Psychological Heuristics Enable Long-Term Optimization? Evidence from Short-Form Video Recommendations
Recommender systems optimized for short-term engagement often hurt long-term consumer satisfaction and retention. Yet optimizing long-term outcomes is challenging because such signals are sparse and noisy. We study short-form video platforms,…
The Road Not Taken: Socioemotional Learning and Academic Rigor
The value of social and emotional skills is increasing in the labor market, but we have limited knowledge on how education systems can foster these skills at scale. We present evidence from a large-scale field experiment in Norway testing an…
Semiparametric Estimation of Treatment Effects in Observational Studies with Heterogeneous Partial Interference
In many observational studies in social science and medicine, subjects or units are connected, and one unit’s treatment and attributes may affect another’s treatment and outcome, violating the stable unit treatment value assumption (SUTVA) and…
Preferences for shared language for health equity across the political spectrum
Importance The language used to describe health equity efforts has become increasingly contested. Understanding how language influences public attitudes is essential to effectively communicate equity-focused concepts across…
Swinging for the Fences: How Do CEO Mega Grants Pay Out for Companies and Shareholders?
In recent years, a small number of companies offered mega grants (equity awards with an expected value in excess of $100 million) to their CEOs. We examine the outcomes of a sample of 40 grants issued to 28 CEOs, including how much realizable…
Fair Market Value of Used Capacity Assets: Forecasts for Repurposed Electric Vehicle Batteries
In response to growing economic and environmental concerns, companies in a range of industries seek to repurpose products (assets) that retain functional capacity beyond their initial first life. This paper examines a generic valuation model for…