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Journal Articles

View peer-reviewed research by Stanford GSB faculty, published in leading journals across the business disciplines.

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View scholarly works-in-progress by Stanford GSB faculty, which often appear in final form in academic journals.

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Journal Article

The Role of Government Reimbursement in Drug Shortages

Ali Yurukoglu, Eli Liebman, David B. Ridley
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy May2017 Vol. 9 Issue 2 Pages 348-382.

Beginning in the mid-2000s, the incidence of drug shortages rose, especially for generic injectable drugs such as anesthetics and chemotherapy treatments. We examine whether reimbursement changes contributed to the shortages, focusing on a…

Journal Article

The State of Applied Econometrics: Causality and Policy Evaluation

Susan Athey, Guido W. Imbens
Journal of Economic Perspectives May2017 Vol. 31 Issue 2 Pages 3-32.

In this paper, we discuss recent developments in econometrics that we view as important for empirical researchers working on policy evaluation questions. We focus on three main areas, in each case, highlighting recommendations for applied work.…

Journal Article

Uncovering Expected Returns: Information in Analyst Coverage Proxies

Charles M. C. Lee, Eric C. So
Journal of Financial Economics May2017 Vol. 124 Issue 2 Pages 331-348.

We show that analyst coverage proxies contain information about expected returns. We decompose analyst coverage into abnormal and expected components using a simple characteristic-based model and show that firms with abnormally high analyst…

Journal Article

Yuliy Sannikov: Winner of the 2016 Clark Medal

Susan Athey, Andrzej Skrzypacz
Journal of Economic Perspectives May2017 Vol. 31 Issue 2 Pages 237-256.

Yuliy Sannikov is an extraordinary theorist who has developed methods that offer new insights in analyzing problems that had seemed well-studied and familiar: for example, decisions that might bring about cooperation and/or defection in a…

Working Paper

Stock Price Management and Share Issuance: Evidence from Equity Warrants

Mary E. Barth, Kurt H. Gee, Doron Israeli, Ron Kasznik
April272017

We address whether firms manage stock prices in anticipation of share issuances. A literature in finance attributes negative returns following share issuances to market timing, whereas studies in accounting interpret similar return patterns as…

Journal Article

Is Operating Flexibility Harmful Under Debt?

Dan A. Iancu, Nikolaos Trichakis, Gerry Tsoukalas
Management Science April252017 Vol. 63 Issue 6 Pages 1730-1761.

We study the inefficiencies stemming from a firm’s operating flexibility under debt. We find that flexibility in replenishing or liquidating inventory, by providing risk-shifting incentives, could lead to borrowing costs that erase more than one-…

Working Paper

The Cross-Section and Time-Series of Stock and Bond Returns

Hanno Lustig, Ralph S.J. Koijen, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
April242017

We show that bond factors, which predict future U.S. economic activity at business cycle horizons, are priced in the cross-section of U.S. stock returns. High book-to-market stocks have larger exposures to these bond factors than low book-to-…

Working Paper

Capital Share Dynamics When Firms Insure Workers

Barney Hartman-Glaser, Hanno Lustig, Mindy X. Zhang
April222017

Although the aggregate capital share for U.S. firms has increased, the firm-level capital share has decreased on average. The divergence is due to the largest firms. While these mega-firms now produce a larger output share, their labor…

Working Paper

Bias in Cable News: Real Effects and Polarization

Gregory J. Martin, Ali Yurukoglu
April52017

We measure the persuasive effects of slanted news and tastes for like-minded news, exploiting cable channel positions as exogenous shifters of cable news viewership. Channel positions do not correlate with demographics that predict viewership and…

Journal Article

It's the Conventional Thought That Counts: How Third-Order Inference Produces Status Advantage

Shelley J. Correll, Cecilia L. Ridgeway, Ezra W. Zuckerman, Sharon Jank, Sara Jordan-Bloch, Sandra Nakagawa
American Sociological Review April12017 Vol. 82 Issue 2 Pages 297-327.

A core claim of sociological theory is that modern institutions fall short of their meritocratic ideals, whereby rewards should be allocated based on achievement-related criteria. Instead, high-status actors often experience a “status advantage…

Stanford Closer Look

An Activist View of CEO Compensation

Alex Baum, David Robert Hale, Mason Morfit, David F. Larcker, Brian Tayan
Stanford Closer Look Series April2017

Understanding CEO compensation plans is a continuing challenge for directors and investors. The disclosure of these plans is dictated by SEC rules that rely heavily on the “fair value” of awards at the time they are granted. The problem with…

Working Paper

Bank Earnings and Regulatory Capital Management using Available for Sale Securities

Mary E. Barth, Javier Gomez-Biscarri, Ron Kasznik, Germán López-Espinosa
April2017

Based on a large sample of publicly listed and non-listed US commercial banks from 1996 to 2011, we find robust evidence consistent with banks using realized available for sale (AFS) securities gains and losses to smooth earnings and increase low…

Working Paper

Do MBAs Pick Winning Stocks When Choosing Their First Job?

Monica Bhole, Paul Oyer
April2017

Every summer and fall, freshly minted MBAs and MBA summer interns take new positions at companies. We analyze whether their choices have any predictive power on the success of those companies. We show that MBAs tend to join companies that have…

Working Paper

Does Competition Reduce Racial Discrimination in Lending?

Greg Buchak, Adam Jørring
April2017

This paper examines whether increases in bank competition reduce discriminatory practices in mortgage lending. Lenders are significantly less likely to approve Black applicants’ loan applications despite facing similar credit risk. However,…

Research Spotlight

Equity, Insider Trading, & Restatements

David F. Larcker, Brian Tayan
CGRI Research Spotlight Series Corporate Governance Research Initiative April2017

This Research Spotlight provides a summary of the academic literature on the impact of equity ownership on firm performance and agency problems:

  • The relation between equity ownership and performance
  • The relation between…
Journal Article

Incentive Alignment and Coordination of Project Supply Chains

Shi Chen, Hau L. Lee
Management Science April2017 Vol. 63 Issue 4 Pages 1105-1025.

We consider a project supply chain where a manufacturer carries out a sequence of tasks, and each task requires certain key materials from a supplier. Since a fixed-price contract cannot attain channel coordination, we focus on time-based…

Journal Article

Long-Term Consequences of Election Results

Anthony Fowler, Andrew B. Hall
British Journal of Political Science April2017 Vol. 47 Issue 2 Pages 351–372.

Voters in U.S. elections receive markedly different representation depending on which candidate they elect, and because of incumbent advantages, the effects of this choice persist for many years. What are the long-term consequences of these two…

Journal Article

Optimal Financial Knowledge and Wealth Inequality

Annamaria Lusardi, Pierre-Carl Michaud, Olivia S. Mitchell
Journal of Political Economy April2017 Vol. 125 Issue 2

We show that financial knowledge is a key determinant of wealth inequality in a stochastic life cycle model with endogenous financial knowledge accumulation, where financial knowledge enables individuals to better allocate lifetime resources in a…

Working Paper

A Re-examination of the Informational Role of Earnings Announcements

Maureen McNichols, William H. Beaver (1940–2024) , Zach Wang
April2017

No abstract available

Working Paper

Relating Product Prices to Long-Run Marginal Cost: Evidence from Solar Photovoltaic Modules

Stefan J. Reichelstein, Ansu Sahoo
April2017

A basic tenet of microeconomics is that for a competitive industry in equilibrium the market price of a product will be equal to its marginal cost. This paper develops a model framework and a corresponding empirical inference procedure for…