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Pressed for Time? Goal Conflict Shapes How Time Is Perceived, Spent, and Valued
Why do consumers often feel pressed for time? This research provides a novel answer to this question: consumers’ subjective perceptions of goal conflict. The authors show that beyond the number of goals competing for consumers’ time,…
Seeking Lasting Enjoyment with Limited Money: Financial Constraints Increase Preference for Material Goods over Experiences
Consumers with limited discretionary money face important trade-offs when deciding how to spend it. In the current research, we suggest that feelings of financial constraint increase consumers’ concern about the lasting utility of their purchases…
Do Short-Sellers Profit from Mutual Funds? Evidence from Daily Trades
Daily mutual fund (MF) flows are highly persistent and price-destabilizing, and short-sellers (SSs) trade strongly in the opposite direction to these flows. This negative relation is associated with the expected component of MF flows (based on…
When is Distress Risk Priced? Evidence from Recessionary Failure Prediction
This paper introduces a new measure of firm’s exposure to systematic distress risk — the probability of a recession at the time of a firm’s failure. For stocks in the top quintile of the probability of failure, a median hedge portfolio based on…
Are the Recent Declines in Solar PV Module Prices Sustainable?
Once dismissed as unrealistically expensive, solar photovoltaic (PV) power has been on a remarkable run lately: according to Bloomberg Professional Service, in comparison to the start of the decade, the annual installations of new solar PV…
A Measure of Robustness to Misspecification
Researchers often report estimates and standard errors for the object of interest (such as a treatment effect) based on a single specification of a statistical model. We propose a systematic approach to assessing sensitivity to specification. We…
Assessing Sale Strategies in Online Markets Using Matched Listings
We use data from eBay to identify hundreds of thousands of instances in which retailers posted otherwise identical product listings with targeted variation in pricing and auction design. We use these matched listings to measure the dispersion in…
Bankruptcy Rates among NFL Players with Short-Lived Income Spike
We test for consumption smoothing using bankruptcy data on players in the National Football League (NFL), who typically earn several million dollars during an income spike that lasts a few years. The life-cycle hypothesis predicts that players…
Central Clearing and Collateral Demand
We use an extensive data set of bilateral credit default swap (CDS) positions to estimate the impact on collateral demand of new clearing and margin regulations. The estimated collateral demands include initial margin and the frictional…
Experimentation in Federal Systems
We develop a model of policy experimentation in federal systems in which heterogeneous districts choose both whether to experiment and the policies to experiment with. The prospect of informational spillovers implies that in the first best the…
Experimentation in Federal Systems
We present a model where heterogeneous districts choose both whether to experiment and the policies to experiment with. Since districts learn from each other, the first-best requires that policy experiments converge so that innovations are useful…
Extracting Human Temporal Orientation from Facebook Language
People vary widely in their temporal orientation — how often they emphasize the past, present, and future — and this affects their finances, health, and happiness. Traditionally, temporal orientation has been assessed by self-report…
Financing Labor
Financial market imperfections can have significant impact on employment decisions of firms. We illustrate the economic importance of this channel by showing that employment decisions are constrained by firms’ financial health and liquidity. Our…
Gary Becker’s Legacy for Economics and Policy
Gary Becker was one of the greatest thinkers of the 20th century. He advanced social science by introducing economic thinking into areas that were thought to be off limits. Because his theory was motivated by his desire to explain the world, his…
Vertical Integration: Hospital Ownership Of Physician Practices Is Associated With Higher Prices And Spending
We examined the consequences of contractual or ownership relationships between hospitals and physician practices, often described as vertical integration. Such integration can reduce health spending and increase the quality of care by…
When a New Tool Is Introduced in Different Cultural Contexts
What will happen if a new tool is introduced to different cultures? What if the tool can potentially bridge those cultures? Will it be used in the same way across cultures and contribute to a decrease in cultural differences? Or will it be used…
A Model of the Reserve Asset
A portion of the global wealth portfolio is directed towards a safe and liquid reserve asset, which recently has been the US Treasury bond. Our model links the determination of reserve asset status to relative fundamentals and relative debt sizes…
Political Risk as a Hold-Up Problem: Implications for Integrated Strategy
I develop a simple hold-up model of political risk, which can be used to explore firms’ strategic options when their investments are subject to the threat of government expropriation. In the model, a firm decides whether to invest and then the…
Causal Inference for Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences
Many applied research questions are fundamentally questions of causality: Is a new drug effective? Does a training program affect someone’s chances of finding a job? What is the effect of a new regulation on economic activity? In this ground-…
The Impact of Treasury Supply on Financial Sector Lending and Stability
We present a theory in which the key driver of short-term debt issued by the financial sector is the portfolio demand for safe and liquid assets by the non-financial sector. This demand drives a premium on safe and liquid assets that the…