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The Political Economy of Geoeconomic Power
Great powers are increasingly using their economic and financial strength for geopolitical aims. This rise of “geoeconomics” has the potential to reshape the international trade and financial system. This paper examines the role of domestic…
The Shadow Price of “Public” Information
Converting public information into stock picks is unlikely to be costless, yet the magnitude of public information processing costs is unknown. We quantify extra-marginal information costs for mutual fund managers by building an “AI analyst” that…
Two-Sided Matching in the Audit Market
We develop and estimate a two-sided matching model of auditors and clients. We find evidence that auditors and clients engage in matching based on their preferences on both observable and unobservable characteristics. This matching appears to…
An Absence of Accountability: Evidence of Employers’ Failure to Measure and Manage Employee Health Benefits Administration
Because employers provide health benefits to >50% of the working age U.S. population, benefits managers at companies who purchase and potentially oversee design and delivery of health benefits have an important role in affecting healthcare…
Beauty as a Goal: Creating Harmony Between Health and Taste
Individuals frequently perceive a tradeoff between health and taste, leading to poor dietary choices. This research identifies a novel pathway to healthier eating by harmonizing seemingly conflicting goals: seeking beauty in food. Across seven…
Does Expressing Uncertainty Help or Harm Leaders?
Can leaders benefit from vocalizing uncertainty? Past research outlines two opposing positions. On one hand, individuals who express confidence signal competence and, as a result, attain greater influence in social groups. On the other hand,…
Using Multiple Outcomes to Adjust Standard Errors for Spatial Correlation
Empirical research in economics often examines the behavior of agents located in a geographic space. In such cases, statistical inference is complicated by the interdependence of economic outcomes across locations. A common approach to account…
Exorbitant Privilege Gained and Lost: Fiscal Implications
We study three centuries of U.K., U.S. and Dutch fiscal history. When a country is the dominant safe asset supplier, it can issue more debt than what is justified by its future primary surpluses, even after accounting for seigniorage revenue from…
"Don't You Plan on Voting?" The Motives and Effects of Peer Pressure in Voter Mobilization
This paper studies the motives behind socially pressuring others in the context of voter mobilization. In this online experiment, college students choose whether to send an email that pressures their campus peers to register to vote for the 2020…
Breaking Through the Ethnic Growth Trap
In this overview piece, I review the literature and identify important directions for how developing societies can break out of such ethnic growth traps and instead leverage the gains that can often be had from ethnic diversity. To do this…
Brokered Distances: Trust in Brokers Within and Between Organizations
Organizational brokers, such as producers, diplomats, and middle managers, connect people within and across organizations. Trust in brokers promotes their effectiveness in connecting unfamiliar counterparts and transferring information between…
Customer Data Access and Fintech Entry: Early Evidence from Open Banking
Open banking (OB) empowers bank customers to share their financial transaction data with fintechs and other banks. New cross-country data shows 49 countries adopted OB policies, privacy preferences predict policy adoption, and adoption spurs…
Dollar Upheaval: This Time is Different
What can we learn from the high-frequency responses in bond and currency markets to the recent tariff announcement about the status of the U.S. dollar as the global reserve currency? The dollar depreciated by 3.4% after April 4 in spite of rising…
Estimating Treatment Effect Heterogeneity in Psychiatry: A Review and Tutorial With Causal Forests
Background
Flexible machine learning tools are increasingly used to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects.
Aims
This paper gives an accessible tutorial demonstrating the use of the causal forest algorithm, available in…
Evaluating the Effects of a Low-Cost, Online Financial Education Program
We provide evidence on how a low-cost, online, and scalable financial education program influences older participants’ financial knowledge. We test the program using a field experiment that includes short stories covering three fundamental…
How Do Consumers React to Ads That Meddle in Out-Party Primaries?
In 2022, Democrats spent $53 million on ads helping far-right candidates win Republican primaries. Paying for ads that support far-right candidates, the reasoning went, could help Democrats win in the general elections because it is…
Managers’ Risk-Return Trade-offs and Corporate Investment
Allocating capital to investment projects is one of a manager’s most critical responsibilities. However, such decisions are shaped by managers’ own beliefs and risk preferences, which can differ from those of diversified shareholders. To study…
Policy Learning with Competing Agents
Decision makers often aim to learn a treatment assignment policy under a capacity constraint on the number of agents that they can treat. When agents can respond strategically to such policies, competition arises, complicating estimation of the…
Presidential Address: The Economist as Designer in the Innovation Process for Socially Impactful Digital Products
This paper provides an economic perspective on data-driven innovation in digital products, focusing on the role of complex experiments in measuring and improving social impact. The discussion highlights how tools and insights from economics…
Selective Exposure and Electoral Competition
We study how selective exposure to information by voters impacts electoral competition between two policy-motivated candidates. Each candidate has stochastic valence that is realized after the candidates choose platforms. In our model of…