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Decision Aids for MBA Program Admissions: Predicting Academic Performance
An approach for aiding and strengthening the MBA admissions process is proposed. The approach derives from the empirical finding that actuarial models out-predict clinical judgments. Multiple-regression models are used to make predictions of the…
Forecasting the Effectiveness of Work-Trip Gasoline Conservation Policies through Conjoint Analysis
Policies such as tax surcharges on gasoline and reductions in transit fare were examined for their potential effectiveness in conserving gasoline. Individual level preference functions to predict work-trip modal choice (auto, public transit…
Improving Managerial Effectiveness Through Modeling Based Training
Abstract not available.
Improving Predictive Power of Conjoint Analysis by Constrained Paramenter Estimation
Predictions based on the full-profile method of conjoint analysis can be significantly improved by imposing a priori constraints on the estimated parameters. The a priori constraints are based on relative preferences for different levels within…
Innovation and Communication: Signaling with Partial Disclosure
Abstract not available.
Intra-Industry Information Transfers Associated With Earnings Releases
The impact that a firm’s earnings releases have on the stock prices of other firms in its industry i s examined. For an identifiable subset of firms, the results are consistent with a significant information transfer occurring between the…
Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Cyclical Investment
This paper builds on the theory of irreversible choice under uncertainty to give an explanation of cyclical investment fluctuations. The key observation is that, when individual projects are irreversible, agents must make investment timing…
Markets in Microcosm: Some Efficiency Properties of Vertical Integration
Abstract not available.
Martingales and Stochastic Integrals in the Theory of Trading
This paper develops a general stochastic model of a frictionless security market with continuous trading. The vector price process is given by a semimartingale of a certain class, and the general stochastic integral is used to represent capital…
A Model of the Demand for Investment Banking Advising and Distribution Services for New Issues
This paper presents a theory of the demand for investment banking advising and distribution services for the case in which the investment banker is better informed about the capital market than is the issuer and the issuer cannot observe…
Modeling-Based Organizational Development: A Longitudinal Assessment
Abstract not available.
Multivariate Tests of Financial Models: A New Approach
Abstract not available.
On the Foundations of the Theory of Market Segmentation
Abstract not available.
Operations as Strategy: Lessons From Japan
The past year has witnessed tremendous interest in Japanese management practice. Owing in part to the increasingly worldwide competitive environment, and more particularly, the survivability of certain U.S. industries (television, automobiles,…
Permanent Income, Liquidity, and Expenditure on Automobiles: Evidence from Panel Data
Several recent papers have tested the permanent income-cum- rational expectations hypothesis using data on nondurable or semi- durable consumption. We show how this approach can be extended to the case of durables. An application to panel data on…
Quantal Choice Models and Conjoint Analysis: Diagnostic and Predictive Comparisons
Quantal choice models are used to link a dichotomous or multichotomous criterion variable, measuring actual choice, with predictor variables which define attributes of alternatives. Usually, individual differences in parameter estimates are…
Rational Cooperation in the Finitely-Repeated Prisoners' Dilemma
Abstract not available.