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A Kinky Consistency: Experimental Evidence of Behavior Under Linear and Non-Linear Budget Sets
Individuals face nonlinear incentives in myriad situations. We test a fundamental assumption in such settings: that individuals display stable preferences when facing linear and nonlinear incentives. We use a laboratory experiment to characterize…
A Legend in One’s Own Mind: The Link between Ambition and Leadership Evaluations
Individuals who have more ambition — a persistent striving for success, attainment, and accomplishment — are more likely to become leaders. But are these ambitious individuals also more effective in leadership roles? We hypothesize that…
Observers of Social Media Discussions about Racial Discrimination Condemn Denial but Also Adopt It
Sharing experiences with racism (racial discrimination disclosure) has the power to raise awareness of discrimination and spur meaningful conversations about race. Sharing these experiences with racism on social media may prompt a range…
Policy Impact and Voter Mobilization: Evidence from Farmers’ Trade War Experiences
How does the extent of policy benefits — not simply their presence — affect political engagement? While fundamental to understanding the electoral implications of economic policymaking, addressing this question is challenging due to the…
Policy Learning with Adaptively Collected Data
In a wide variety of applications, including healthcare, bidding in first price auctions, digital recommendations, and online education, it can be beneficial to learn a policy that assigns treatments to individuals based on their characteristics…
Present Bias in Politics and Self-Committing Treaties
We study how international agreements can take advantage of domestic time-inconsistency problems in the context of environmental policies. For example, policymakers will prefer future policies to be sustainable, but find it tempting to raise…
The Incentives to (Not) Debate in Low-Information Races
Why are there few debates in low-information elections where they have the greatest potential to inform vote choices? Consistent with weak incentives to reveal qualifications or make policy commitments, we find only a quarter of Parliamentary…
The Plot Thickens: A Sociology of Conspiracy Theories
Conspiracy theories are a constant feature of human society but have recently risen in prominence with the flurry of COVID-19 conspiracy theories and their public display in social media. Conspiracy theories should be studied not only because of…
The Sociology of Interpretation
Recent years have seen a growing sociological interest in meaning. In fact, some argue that sociology cannot confront its foundational questions without addressing meaning. Yet sociologists mean many things when they talk about meaning. We…
Trends in Competition in the United States: What Does the Evidence Show?
Has the United States economy become less competitive in recent decades? One might think so based on a body of research that has rapidly become influential for antitrust policy. We explain that the empirical evidence relating to concentration…
Laws of Human Memory
The search for laws—invariances across conditions and subjects—is essential to the project of understanding memory. Despite the complexity of memory and its diverse manifestations in people’s daily lives, certain mnemonic effects appear to hold…
Analysis of the Privacy-Performance Tradeoff of Reference Testing in Forensic Investigative Genetic Genealogy
During an investigation using Forensic Investigative Genetic Genealogy, which is a novel approach for solving violent crimes and identifying human remains, reference testing—when law enforcement requests a DNA sample from a person in a partially…
Corporate Carbon Accounting: Balance Sheets and Flow Statements
Current corporate disclosures regarding carbon emissions lack commonly accepted accounting rules. The carbon accrual accounting system described here takes the rules of historical cost accounting for operating assets as a template for generating…
Do Mergers and Acquisitions Improve Efficiency? Evidence from Power Plants
Using rich data on hourly physical productivity and thousands of ownership changes from U.S. power plants, we study the effects of acquisitions on efficiency and underlying mechanisms. We find a 2% average increase in efficiency for acquired…
Drivers of Public Procurement Prices: Evidence from Pharmaceutical Markets
This paper examines the determinants of public procurement prices using comprehensive data on pharmaceutical purchases by the public sector in Chile. We first document sizable price differences between buyers for the same product and quantity…
Expectations and the Neutrality of Interest Rates
Our central banks set interest rates, and do not even pretend to control money supplies. How do interest rates affect inflation? We finally have a complete economic theory of inflation under interest rate targets and unconstrained…
Firm Boundaries and Voluntary Disclosure
We study how vertical integration shapes firms’ public disclosures. Theory suggests that firms can use public disclosure to coordinate with supply chain partners and predicts a substitution between vertical integration and public disclosure of…
Identity and Economic Incentives
We develop a theoretical model and conduct field experiments to distinguish the impact of identity on shaping beliefs from its direct effect on preferences in individual investment choices. Our model suggests that identity distorts individuals’…
Real Effects of Supplying Safe Private Money
Privately issued money often bears devaluation risk that create monetary transaction frictions. We evaluate the real effects of supplying a new type of safe money in the historical context of the U.S. in 1863. We instrument for the change in…
Searching for Approval
This paper theoretically and empirically studies the interaction of search and application approval in credit markets. Risky borrowers internalize the probability that their application is rejected and behave as if they had high search costs.…