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College Rankings, Labor Market Outcomes, and Alumni Satisfaction
State and federal governments invest millions of dollars in providing accurate and relevant information on expected outcomes to students pursuing higher education, but whether such information targets what students value about college is unclear…
Data-driven Error Estimation: Upper Bounding Multiple Errors with No Technical Debt
We formulate the problem of constructing multiple simultaneously valid confidence intervals (CIs) as estimating a high probability upper bound on the maximum error for a class/set of estimate-estimand-error tuples, and refer to this as the error…
Democracy Corrupted: Apex Corruption and the Erosion of Democratic Values
Democratic values are eroding just as citizens perceive increasing corruption, with numerous cases implicating the highest-level politicians. Could perceived increases in apex corruption be weakening democracy? We first present event study…
Financial Innovation in the 21st Century: Evidence from U.S. Patents
We explore the evolution of financial innovation using US finance patents. Patented financial innovations are substantial and increasingly economically important. Their subject matter has changed, consistent with the industry’s shift toward…
Imagined Otherness Fuels Blatant Dehumanization of Outgroups
Dehumanization of others has been attributed to institutional processes that spread dehumanizing norms and narratives, as well as to individuals’ denial of mind to others. We propose that blatant dehumanization also arises when people actively…
Investigating Complementarities in Subscription Software Usage Using Advertising Experiments
In this study, we examine complementarities in usage across a set of related software products from a multi-product firm. We employ a novel experimental approach to causally estimate complementarities, leveraging rich usage data and advertising…
Is ESG a Luxury Good?
In this Closer Look, we consider whether ESG is a luxury good — a good whose high price tag stimulates demand. During times of economic prosperity, shareholders expressed willingness to sacrifice personal financial benefit to see environmental…
Make Decisions with a VC Mindset
Venture capitalists’ unique approach to investment and innovation has played a pivotal role in launching one-fifth of the largest U.S. public companies. And three-quarters of the largest U.S. companies founded in the past 50 years would not have…
Measuring the Market for Legal Firearms
The Massachusetts Firearms Records Bureau recently published administrative data covering the universe of legal firearm transactions in the state. We use these data to validate state-level background checks as a proxy for firearm transactions and…
Politicians’ Use of National Identity Rhetoric on Social Media Predicts Engagement and Electoral Success
Politicians invest heavily in social media to amplify narratives about their nations, but the effectiveness of such approaches remains unclear. Analyzing 758,222 posts from US and UK politicians on X (formerly Twitter), we found that right-wing…
Prediction-Driven Surge Planning with Application to Emergency Department Nurse Staffing
Determining emergency department (ED) nurse staffing decisions to balance quality of service and staffing costs can be extremely challenging, especially when there is a high level of uncertainty in patient demand. Increasing data availability and…
Production Complementarity and Information Transmission Across Industries
Economic theory suggests that production complementarity is an important driver of sectoral co-movements and business cycle…
Singular Control of (Reflected) Brownian Motion: A Computational Method Suitable for Queueing Applications
Motivated by applications in queueing theory, we consider a class of singular stochastic control problems whose state space is the d-dimensional positive orthant. The original problem is approximated by a drift control problem, to which…
Strategic Behavior with Tight, Loose, and Polarized Norms
Descriptive norms, the behavior of other individuals in one’s reference group, play a key role in shaping individual decisions in managerial contexts and beyond. Organizations are increasingly using information about descriptive norms to nudge…
The Effects of Facebook and Instagram on the 2020 Election: A Deactivation Experiment
We study the effect of Facebook and Instagram access on political beliefs, attitudes, and behavior by randomizing a subset of 19,857 Facebook users and 15,585 Instagram users to deactivate their accounts for 6 wk before the 2020 U.S. election. We…
The Impact of Online Competition on Local Newspapers: Evidence from the Introduction of Craigslist
How does competition from online platforms affect the organization, performance, and editorial choices of newspapers? What are the implications of these changes for the information voters are exposed to and for their political choices? We study…
Towards Costless Model Selection in Contextual Bandits: A Bias-Variance Perspective
Model selection in supervised learning provides costless guarantees as if the model that best balances bias and variance was known a priori. We study the feasibility of similar guarantees for cumulative regret minimization in the stochastic…
Who Benefits from State Corporate Tax Cuts? A Local Labor Market Approach with Heterogeneous Firms: Further Results
This paper estimates state corporate tax incidence using new data and methods for estimating the effects on profits. Extending Suárez Serrato and Zidar (2016), we develop two identification approaches that use the effects on incumbent firm labor…
When the One True Faith Trumps All: Low Religious Diversity, Religious Intolerance, and Science Denial
Past theories have linked science denial to religiosity but have not explained its geographic variability. We hypothesize that it springs not only from religious intensity but also from religious intolerance, which depends greatly on the…
Material Selection to Improve Sustainability in the Apparel Industry
The large amounts of resources required for producing the materials our garments are made of and the significant levels of pollution associated with textile and garment production and disposal are some of the major environmental concerns…