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Treatment Effects in Market Equilibrium
Policy-relevant treatment effect estimation in a marketplace setting requires assessing both the direct treatment benefit and spillovers induced by changes to the market equilibrium. We show how to identify and estimate policy-relevant treatment…
What Does It Take? Quantifying Cross-Country Transfers in the Eurozone
We compute the cross-country transfers that result from unconventional monetary policy in the Eurozone. The ECB funds the expansion of its aggregate balance sheet mostly by issuing bank reserves and cash in core countries. The national central…
The Surrogate Index: Combining Short-Term Proxies to Estimate Long-Term Treatment Effects More Rapidly and Precisely
A common challenge in estimating the long-term impacts of treatments (e.g., job training programs) is that the outcomes of interest (e.g., lifetime earnings) are observed with a long delay. We address this problem by combining several short-term…
Tariffs and Supply Chain Diversification under Scale Economies
The recent elimination of the United States de minimis exemption for import tariffs has been reported to have a significant impact on ultra-fresh fashion companies such as Shein and Temu. This paper develops a game-theoretic model to investigate…
How Do Chief Executive Officers Make Strategy?
We survey 262 chief executive officer (CEO) alumni of Harvard Business School and gather evidence on three aspects of each executive’s strategy practice: how formalized it is, how it is developed, and how it is implemented. We report three main…
Human Flourishing and the Future of Leadership in Leading Humans
How Much Should We Spend to Reduce A.I.’s Existential Risk?
During the Covid-19 pandemic, the United States effectively “spent” about 4 percent of GDP — via reduced economic activity — to address a mortality risk of around 0.3 percent. Many experts believe that catastrophic risks from advanced A.I. over…
The Global Network of Oligarch Companies
We study how Russian oligarch-affiliated companies operate globally and respond to sanctions. We construct a dataset tracking 70 companies, 1,800 international subsidiaries, and their institutional investors between 2009 and 2023. These companies…
Ending Publication Bias: A Values-Based Approach to Surface Null and Negative Results
Sharing knowledge is a basic tenet of the scientific community, yet publication bias arising from the reluctance or inability to publish negative or null results remains a long-standing and deep-seated problem, albeit one that varies in severity…
Not So Fast? Rapid Response to Voice Leads to Perceived Inauthenticity
Employees voice their concerns in the hope that leaders will change their behavior. But how do employees evaluate these changes? In the present research, we highlight the rate of behavior change as a key factor in determining leader…
A Walrasian Mechanism with Markups for Nonconvex Markets
We introduce markup equilibrium—an extension of Walrasian equilibrium in which consumers pay a fixed percentage markup over producer prices. In quasilinear markets, markup equilibria exist despite nonconvexities. They are resource-…
Keeping Players in the Dark: Benefits of Private Monitoring
I survey the benefits of keeping players in the dark about payoff- or strategy-relevant variables in dynamic games. Topics include repeated games with private monitoring, stochastic games with incomplete information, and repeated/stochastic games…
Service Quality on Online Platforms: Empirical Evidence About Driving Quality at Uber
Online marketplaces have adopted new quality control mechanisms that can accommodate a flexible pool of providers. In the context of ride-hailing, we measure the effectiveness of these mechanisms, which include ratings, incentives, and behavioral…
Development and Preliminary Validation of a Survey Assessing Technology Innovation Readiness in Health Care Settings
Background
Innovation readiness is crucial for transformative changes and enhanced performance in health care and depends on multiple factors including trust, training, and unit dynamics.
Purposes
We develop and validate…
On Aligning Prediction Models with Clinical Experiential Learning: A Prostate Cancer Case Study
Over the past decade, the use of machine learning (ML) models in healthcare applications has rapidly increased. Despite high performance, modern ML models do not always capture patterns the end user requires. For example, a model may predict a…
2025 CEO Coaching and Kitchen Cabinet Survey
In spring 2025, the Corporate Governance Research Initiative at Stanford Graduate School of Business, Arthur and Toni Rembe Rock Center for Corporate Governance, Governance of Organizations Working Group at the Hoover Institution at Stanford…
2025 Director Coaching and Kitchen Cabinet Survey
In spring 2025, the Corporate Governance Research Initiative at Stanford Graduate School of Business, Arthur and Toni Rembe Rock Center for Corporate Governance, Governance of Organizations Working Group at the Hoover Institution at Stanford…
Congestion Pricing, Carpooling, and Commuter Welfare
Building on the canonical “bottleneck” model of Vickrey (1969), we show that carpooling and road pricing are highly complementary in addressing traffic congestion: they can be much more effective jointly than each one separately, and can improve…
Digital Traffic, Financial Performance, and Stock Valuation
We examine the economic implications of digital traffic on firms’ financial performance, stock valuation, and financial surprises. Our analysis shows that timely flows of digital traffic are contemporaneous and leading indicators of firms’…
Optimal Estimation When Researcher and Social Preferences Are Misaligned
Econometric analysis typically focuses on the statistical properties of fixed estimators and ignores researcher choices. In this article, I instead approach the analysis of experimental data as a mechanism‐design problem that acknowledges that…