Working Papers

These papers are working drafts of research which often appear in final form in academic journals. The published versions may differ from the working versions provided here.

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Evan J. Soltas, David Broockman
February 23, 2017

We exploit a natural experiment to study voter taste-based discrimination against nonwhite political candidates. In Illinois Republican presidential primary elections, voters do not vote for presidential candidates directly. Instead, they vote delegate-by-delegate for delegate candidates...

Saumitra Jha, Moses Shayo
August 26, 2016

Financial markets expose individuals to the broader economy. Does participation in financial markets also lead citizens to re-evaluate the costs of conflict, their views on politics and even their voting decisions? Prior to the 2015...

Susan Athey, Emilio Calvano, Saumitra Jha
August 6, 2016

We analyze the classic problem of sustaining trust when cheating and leaving trading partners is easy, and outside enforcement is difficult. We construct equilibria where individuals are loyal to smaller groups– communities– that allow repeated...

Dana Foarta
April 2016
This paper studies the welfare effects of a ‘partial banking union’ in which cross-country …financial transfers that could be used towards bailouts are decided at the supranational level, but policymakers in member countries hold decision power over the...
Katherine Casey, Rachel Glennerster, Kelly Bidwell
February 16, 2016

Candidate debates have a rich history and remain integral to contemporary campaign strategy. There is, however, no evidence that they affect voter behavior. The scarcity of political information in the developing world offers an attractive...

Ken Shotts, Alexander V. Hirsch
October 10, 2015

Political institutions often use decision making procedures that create veto players—individuals or groups who, despite lacking direct decision making authority, nevertheless have the power to  block policy change. In this paper we use the competitive...

Greg Distelhorst, Jens Hainmueller, Richard M. Locke
August 29, 2015

This study tests the hypothesis that lean manufacturing improves the social performance of manufacturers in emerging markets. We analyze an intervention by Nike Inc. to promote the adoption of lean manufacturing in its apparel supply...

David P. Baron, Renee Bowen
July 22, 2015

We present a theory of dynamic coalitions for a legislative bargaining game in which policies continue in effect in the absence of new legislation. We characterize Markov perfect equilibria with dynamic coalitions, which are decisive...

Alexander V. Hirsch, Ken Shotts
June 1, 2015

We analyze a model of policymaking in which only one actor, e.g., a bureaucratic agency or a well-funded interest group, has the capacity to develop high-quality policy proposals. By virtue of her skills, this actor...

Ken Shotts
April 20, 2015

I develop a simple hold-up model of political risk, which can be used to explore firms’ strategic options when their investments are subject to the threat of government expropriation. In the model, a firm decides...

Dana Foarta
April 2015

Two key features of the government bailout programs implemented in the 2008-2009 …nancial crisis were: …rst, the general opposition of voters to these programs and second, the implementation of a variety of interventions, ranging from targeted transfers...

Katherine Casey
February 24, 2015

Many lament that weak accountability and poor governance impede economic development in Africa. Politicians rely on ethnic allegiances that deliver the vote irrespective of performance, dampening electoral incentives. Giving voters information about candidate competence counters ethnic loyalty and...

Steven Callander, Niko Matouschek
December 11, 2014

An emergent theme in the study of organizations is the broad differences in managerial practice and performance across firms. We develop an explanation for these phenomena that turns on the complexity of the environments that firms operate...

Steven Callander, Davin Raiha
November 12, 2014

The policy choices of governments are frequently durable. From the building of bridges to the creation of social programs, investments in public infrastructure typically last well beyond a single electoral cycle. In this paper we develop a...

Laurence C. Baker, Mary K. Bundorf, Daniel P. Kessler
October 2014

Although doctors and hospitals own their patients medical records, state and federal laws require that they provide patients with a copy at reasonable cost. We examine the effects of state laws that cap the fees that...

Dana Foarta
April 12, 2014

This paper examines the optimal degree of centralization that can be achieved with respect to bailout policies when a central authority cannot supervise the entire banking system of the economy. Part of the banking system...

Dana Foarta
April 2014

I study public liquidity provision in a liquidity-constrained economy in which government policy is decided by politicians subject to rent-seeking and electoral constraints. Public interventions are modeled as a choice between direct fiscal transfers to...

Gregory Huber, Neil Malhotra
October 2013

How do political predispositions shape the social relationships individuals create? To address these issues, we leverage the domain of online dating, in which we can observe people’s political identities and preferences before they express a...

David Rothschild, Neil Malhotra
March 23, 2013

Psychologists have long observed that people conform to majority opinion, a phenomenon sometimes referred to as the “bandwagon effect.” In the political domain people learn about prevailing public opinion via ubiquitous polls, which may produce a bandwagon...

Steven Callander, Keith Krehbiel
2012

Fixed statutes and regulations often have variable consequences over time. If left unattended, such drift can severely erode the performance of government as an institution of representation. To better understand the mechanics of policy-making in...