Working Papers

These papers are working drafts of research which often appear in final form in academic journals. The published versions may differ from the working versions provided here.

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Alan Yan, Joshua Kalla, David Broockman
March 8, 2018

Scholars have long noted the marked advantages of panel surveys for understanding the nature and causes of shifts in public opinion. Despite these advantages, existing panel survey approaches are often regarded as prohibitively costly or...

David Broockman, Evan J. Soltas
February 21, 2018

We exploit a natural experiment to identify taste-based discrimination against racial and ethnic minorities and women in elections. In Illinois Republican presidential primaries, voters vote for delegates bound to particular presidential candidates. Delegates’ names convey...

Katherine Casey
January 19, 2018

Classic arguments for decentralization, augmented by ideas about how participation empowers the poor, motivate the widely used approach in foreign aid called community-driven development.  CDD devolves control over the selection, implementation and financial management of...

David Broockman, Greg F. Ferenstein, Neil Malhotra
December 9, 2017

American politics overrepresents the wealthy. But what policies do the wealthy support? Many accounts implicitly assume the wealthy are monolithically conservative and that increases in their political power will increase inequality. Instead, we argue there...

Dana Foarta
November 15, 2017

This paper studies the welfare effects of a ‘partial banking union’ in which cross-country …financial transfers that could be used towards bailouts are decided at the supranational level, but policymakers in member countries hold decision power over the...

Moritz Marbach, Jens Hainmueller, Dominik Hangartner
November 2017

Many European countries impose employment bans that prevent asylum seekers from entering the local labor market for a certain waiting period upon arrival. We provide evidence on the long-term effects of such employment bans on...

Joshua Kalla, David Broockman
September 26, 2017

Significant theories of democratic accountability hinge on how political campaigns affect Americans’ candidate choices. We argue that the best estimate of the effects of campaign contact and advertising on Americans’ candidates choices in general elections...

Saumitra Jha
September 19, 2017

I examine the conditions under which trade can support peaceful coexistence and prosperity when particular ethnic groups are cheap targets of violence. A simple theoretical framework reveals that for a broad set of cases, while...

Christian Fong, Neil Malhotra, Yotam M. Margalit
August 29, 2017

Politicians are widely perceived to lose significance upon leaving office. Yet media accounts often highlight politicians’ legacies as a source of influence that endures even after they retire. This article assesses these contrasting views by...

Neil Malhotra, Benjamin Newman
August 28, 2017

Leading research is converging upon the finding that citizens from immigrant-receiving nations strongly prefer the entry of high-skilled to low-skilled immigrants. Prior studies have largely interpreted this “skill premium” as deriving from sociotropic economic considerations....

C. Christine Fair, Patrick Kuhn, Neil Malhotra, Jacob Shapiro
May 31, 2017

How natural disasters affect politics in developing countries is an important question, given the fragility of fledgling democratic institutions in some of these countries as well as likely increased exposure to natural disasters over time...

Alexander V. Hirsch, Ken Shotts
May 25, 2017

We analyze a model of policymaking in which only one actor, e.g., a bureaucratic agency or a well-funded interest group, has the capacity to develop high-quality policy proposals. By virtue of her skills, this actor...

Kirk Bansak, Jens Hainmueller, Daniel J. Hopkins, Teppei Yamamoto
April 26, 2017

Recent years have seen a renaissance of conjoint survey designs within social science. To date, however, researchers have lacked guidance on how many attributes they can include within conjoint profiles before survey satisficing leads to...

Douglas Ahler, David Broockman
April 24, 2017

Many argue for political reforms intended to resolve apparent disjunctures between politicians’ ideologically polarized policy positions and citizens less-polarized policy preferences. Here we show such apparent disjunctures can arise even when politicians represent their constituencies...

David Broockman, Christopher Skovron
March 14, 2017

The conservative asymmetry of elite polarization and the right-skewed “democratic deficit”—wherein policy is more conservative than majorities prefer on average—represent significant puzzles. We argue that such breakdowns in aggregate representation can arise because politicians systematically...

Saumitra Jha, Moses Shayo
August 26, 2016

Financial markets expose individuals to the broader economy. Does participation in financial markets also lead citizens to re-evaluate the costs of conflict, their views on politics and even their voting decisions? Prior to the 2015...

Susan Athey, Emilio Calvano, Saumitra Jha
August 6, 2016

We analyze the classic problem of sustaining trust when cheating and leaving trading partners is easy, and outside enforcement is difficult. We construct equilibria where individuals are loyal to smaller groups– communities– that allow repeated...

Katherine Casey, Rachel Glennerster, Kelly Bidwell
February 16, 2016

Candidate debates have a rich history and remain integral to contemporary campaign strategy. There is, however, no evidence that they affect voter behavior. The scarcity of political information in the developing world offers an attractive...

Ken Shotts, Alexander V. Hirsch
October 10, 2015

Political institutions often use decision making procedures that create veto players—individuals or groups who, despite lacking direct decision making authority, nevertheless have the power to  block policy change. In this paper we use the competitive...

Greg Distelhorst, Jens Hainmueller, Richard M. Locke
August 29, 2015

This study tests the hypothesis that lean manufacturing improves the social performance of manufacturers in emerging markets. We analyze an intervention by Nike Inc. to promote the adoption of lean manufacturing in its apparel supply...