Working Papers

These papers are working drafts of research which often appear in final form in academic journals. The published versions may differ from the working versions provided here.

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David Broockman, Evan J. Soltas
October 9, 2018

We exploit a natural experiment to identify discrimination in elections. In Illinois Republican presidential primaries, voters vote for delegates bound to presidential candidates, but delegates’ names convey information about their race and gender. We identify...

Saumitra Jha, Moses Shayo
July 26, 2018

How can we help individuals handle financial decisions in an increasingly complex environment? We explore an easily scalable avenue for improving financial understanding: learning by online trading in stocks. We randomly assign 1345 adults incentives...

Saumitra Jha, Moses Shayo
May 25, 2018

Can participation in financial markets lead individuals to re-evaluate the costs of conflict, change their political attitudes and even their votes? Prior to the 2015 Israeli elections, we randomly assigned Palestinian and Israeli financial assets...

Katherine Casey, Rachel Glennerster, Kelly Bidwell
May 9, 2018

Candidate debates have a rich history and remain integral to contemporary campaign strategy. There is, however, no evidence that they affect the behavior of voters or elected politicians. The scarcity of political information in the...

Dana Foarta, Takuo Sugaya
April 26, 2018

We study the contracting problem of a principal who chooses between motivating an agent to exert effort or taking her outside option. The agent is privately informed about his ability, where a higher-ability agent faces...

Gregory J. Martin, Josh McCrain
April 19, 2018

Revise and Resubmit at the American Political Science Review.

The level of journalistic resources dedicated to coverage of local politics is in a long term decline in the US news media, with readership shifting to national...

David Broockman, Christopher Skovron
March 14, 2018

The conservative asymmetry of elite polarization and the right-skewed “democratic deficit”—wherein policy is more conservative than majorities prefer on average—represent significant puzzles. We argue that such breakdowns in aggregate representation can arise because politicians systematically...

Katherine Casey
January 19, 2018

Classic arguments for decentralization, augmented by ideas about how participation empowers the poor, motivate the widely used approach in foreign aid called community-driven development.  CDD devolves control over the selection, implementation and financial management of...

David Broockman, Greg F. Ferenstein, Neil Malhotra
December 9, 2017

American politics overrepresents the wealthy. But what policies do the wealthy support? Many accounts implicitly assume the wealthy are monolithically conservative and that increases in their political power will increase inequality. Instead, we argue there...

Dana Foarta
November 15, 2017

This paper studies the welfare effects of a ‘partial banking union’ in which cross-country …financial transfers that could be used towards bailouts are decided at the supranational level, but policymakers in member countries hold decision power over the...

Moritz Marbach, Jens Hainmueller, Dominik Hangartner
November 2017

Many European countries impose employment bans that prevent asylum seekers from entering the local labor market for a certain waiting period upon arrival. We provide evidence on the long-term effects of such employment bans on...

Joshua Kalla, David Broockman
September 26, 2017

Significant theories of democratic accountability hinge on how political campaigns affect Americans’ candidate choices. We argue that the best estimate of the effects of campaign contact and advertising on Americans’ candidates choices in general elections...

Saumitra Jha
September 19, 2017

I examine the conditions under which trade can support peaceful coexistence and prosperity when particular ethnic groups are cheap targets of violence. A simple theoretical framework reveals that for a broad set of cases, while...

Christian Fong, Neil Malhotra, Yotam M. Margalit
August 29, 2017

Politicians are widely perceived to lose significance upon leaving office. Yet media accounts often highlight politicians’ legacies as a source of influence that endures even after they retire. This article assesses these contrasting views by...

Neil Malhotra, Benjamin Newman
August 28, 2017

Leading research is converging upon the finding that citizens from immigrant-receiving nations strongly prefer the entry of high-skilled to low-skilled immigrants. Prior studies have largely interpreted this “skill premium” as deriving from sociotropic economic considerations....

C. Christine Fair, Patrick Kuhn, Neil Malhotra, Jacob Shapiro
May 31, 2017

How natural disasters affect politics in developing countries is an important question, given the fragility of fledgling democratic institutions in some of these countries as well as likely increased exposure to natural disasters over time...

Alexander V. Hirsch, Ken Shotts
May 25, 2017

We analyze a model of policymaking in which only one actor, e.g., a bureaucratic agency or a well-funded interest group, has the capacity to develop high-quality policy proposals. By virtue of her skills, this actor...

Kirk Bansak, Jens Hainmueller, Daniel J. Hopkins, Teppei Yamamoto
April 26, 2017

Recent years have seen a renaissance of conjoint survey designs within social science. To date, however, researchers have lacked guidance on how many attributes they can include within conjoint profiles before survey satisficing leads to...

Douglas Ahler, David Broockman
April 24, 2017

Many argue for political reforms intended to resolve apparent disjunctures between politicians’ ideologically polarized policy positions and citizens less-polarized policy preferences. Here we show such apparent disjunctures can arise even when politicians represent their constituencies...

Alan Yan, Joshua Kalla, David Broockman
March 8, 2017

Scholars have long noted the marked advantages of panel surveys for understanding the nature and causes of shifts in public opinion. Despite these advantages, existing panel survey approaches are often regarded as prohibitively costly or...