These papers are working drafts of research which often appear in final form in academic journals. The published versions may differ from the working versions provided here.
SSRN Research Paper Series
The Social Science Research Network’s Research Paper Series includes working papers produced by Stanford GSB the Rock Center.
You may search for authors and topics and download copies of the work there.
A Theory of Hard and Soft Information
We study optimal disclosure via two competing communication channels; hard information whose value has been verified and soft disclosures such as forecasts, unaudited statements and press releases. We show that certain soft disclosures may…
Assessing Asset Pricing Models using Revealed Preference
We propose a new method of testing asset pricing models that relies on using quantities rather than simply prices or returns. We use the capital flows into and out of mutual funds to infer which risk model investors use. We derive a simple test…
The Information Content of Earnings Announcements: New Insights from Intertemporal and Cross-Sectional Behavior
Forthcoming in Review of Accounting Studies
This study examines the information content of quarterly earnings announcements. We first use a nonparametric approach to investigate whether quarterly earnings announcements are…
A Macroeconomic Framework for Quantifying Systemic Risk
Systemic risk arises when shocks lead to states where a disruption in financial intermediation adversely affects the economy and feeds back into further disrupting financial intermediation. We present a macroeconomic model with a financial…
Built to Become: Corporate Longevity and Strategic Leadership
This paper discusses the phenomenon of “built to become:” an open-ended ongoing process for which there is no grand ex ante plan possible and which unfolds through a series of transformations in the course of the strategic evolution of…
Measuring Liquidity Mismatch in the Banking Sector
This paper expands on Brunnermeier, Gorton and Krishnamurthy (2011) and implements a liquidity measure, “Liquidity Mismatch Index (LMI),” to gauge the mismatch between the market liquidity of assets and the funding liquidity of liabilities. We…
Superbowl Ads
We explore the effects of television advertising in the setting of the NFL’s Super Bowl telecast. The Super Bowl is the largest advertising event of the year and is well suited for measurement. The event has the potential to create significant…
Supplier Evasion of a Buyer's Audit: Implications for Motivating Compliance with Labor and Environmental Standards
Deadly factory fires. Illegal pollution. Injured workers. Many brands have recently been tarnished by publicity of suppliers’ labor and environmental violations. This paper provides guidance to buyers as to how they…
Corporate Governance, Incentives, and Tax Avoidance
We examine the link between corporate governance, managerial incentives, and corporate tax avoidance. Similar to other investment opportunities that involve risky expected cash flows, unresolved agency problems may lead managers to engage in more…
Crossing Party Lines: The Effects of Information on Redistributive Politics
Many lament that weak accountability and poor governance impede economic development in Africa. Politicians rely on ethnic allegiances that deliver the vote irrespective of performance, dampening electoral incentives. Giving voters…
The failure of models that predict failure: Distance, incentives, and defaults
Statistical default models, widely used to assess default risk, fail to account for a change in the relations between different variables resulting from an underlying change in agent behavior. We demonstrate this phenomenon using data on…
Efficiency of Flexible Budgetary Institutions
Which budgetary institutions result in efficient provision of public goods? We analyze a model with two parties bargaining over the allocation to a public good each period. Parties place different values on the public good, and these…
Did the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) Lead to Risky Lending?
Yes, it did. We use exogenous variation in banks’ incentives to conform to the standards of the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) around regulatory exam dates to trace out the effect of the CRA on lending activity. Our empirical strategy compares…
Long-Term Care Utility and Late-in-Life Saving
Older wealthholders spend down assets slowly. To study this pattern, the paper introduces health-dependent utility into a model in which different preferences for bequests, expenditures when in need of long-term care (LTC), and ordinary…
The Persistence of Lenient Market Categories
Research across disciplines presumes that market categories will have strong boundaries. Categories without well-defined boundaries typically are not useful so are expected to fade away. We suggest many contexts contain lenient market…
A Dynamic Process Model of Private Politics: Activist Targeting and Corporate Receptivity to Social Challenges
This project explores whether and how corporations become more receptive to social activist challenges over time. Drawing from social movement theory, we suggest a dynamic process through which contentious interactions lead to increased…
Evidence of Strategic Upcoding in Medicare Claims Data
Recent Medicare legislation has been directed at improving patient care quality by stopping reimbursement of hospital-acquired conditions (HACs). However, this policy may be undermined if some providers respond by upcoding, a practice…
The Missing “One-Offs”: The Hidden Supply of High-Achieving, Low-Income Students
We show that the vast majority of low-income high achievers do not apply to any selective college. This is despite the fact that selective institutions typically cost them less, owing to generous financial aid, than the two-year and nonselective…
Resolution of Failing Central Counterparties
A central counterparty (CCP) is a financial market utility that lowers counterparty default risk on specified financial contracts by acting as a buyer to every seller, and as a seller to every buyer. When at risk of failure, a CCP could be…
Managing on Rugged Landscapes
An emergent theme in the study of organizations is the broad differences in managerial practice and performance across firms. We develop an explanation for these phenomena that turns on the complexity of the environments that firms…