Working Papers

These papers are working drafts of research which often appear in final form in academic journals. The published versions may differ from the working versions provided here.

SSRN Research Paper Series

The Social Science Research Network’s Research Paper Series includes working papers produced by Stanford GSB the Rock Center.

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When Harry Fired Sally: The Double Standard in Punishing Misconduct

Mark L. Egan, Gregor Matvos, Amit Seru
March2017

We examine gender discrimination in the financial advisory industry. We study a less salient mechanism for discrimination, firm discipline following missteps. There are substantial differences in the punishment of misconduct across genders.…

Mutual Funds and Short-Sellers: Why does short-sale volume predict stock returns?

Salman Arif, Azi Ben-Rephael, Charles M. C. Lee
February242017

Daily directional trading by mutual funds (MFs) is highly-persistent and price-destabilizing, leading to return reversals lasting months.  This effect is distinct from the “flow-induced trading” phenomenon in prior studies.  At the same…

Big Data and Marketing Analytics in Gaming: Combining Empirical Models and Field Experimentation

Harikesh S. Nair, Sanjog Misra, William J. Hornbuckle IV, Ranjan Mishra, Anand Acharya
February222017

Efforts on developing, implementing and evaluating a marketing analytics framework at a real-world company are described. The framework uses individual-level transaction data to fit empirical models of consumer response to marketing efforts, and…

Unification versus Separation of Regulatory Institutions

Dana Foarta, Takuo Sugaya
February152017

Why might a country choose to aggregate regulatory information into a single government agency? And what might reverse this choice? We consider an oversight setting in which the institutional structure affects access to information. A regulator…

Group Affiliation and Default Prediction

William H. Beaver (1940–2024), Stefano Cascino, Maria Correia, Maureen McNichols
February2017

Using a large sample of business groups from several countries around the world, we show that group information matters for parent and subsidiary default prediction. Group firms may support each other when in financial distress. Potential group…

Nash-in-Nash Tariff Bargaining with and without MFN

Ali Yurukoglu, Kyle Bagwell, Robert Staiger
February2017

We provide an equilibrium analysis of the efficiency properties of bilateral tariff negotiations in a three-country, two-good general equilibrium model of international trade when transfers are not feasible. We consider “weak-rules” …

The Contribution of Bank Regulation and Fair Value Accounting to Procyclical Leverage

Amir Amel-Zadeh, Mary E. Barth, Wayne R. Landsman
February2017

Our analytical description of how banks’ responses to asset price changes can result in procyclical leverage reveals that for banks with a binding regulatory leverage constraint, absent differences in regulatory risk weights across assets,…

Debt Contracts in the Presence of Performance Manipulation

Ilan Guttman, Iván Marinovic
January202017

Empirical and survey evidence suggest that firms often manipulate reported numbers to avoid debt covenant violations. The theoretical literature, by and large, has ignored the consequences of this phenomenon on debt contracting. Departing from a…

The Impact of News Aggregators on Internet News Consumption: The Case of Localization

Susan Athey, Mark Mobius
January112017

A policy debate centers around the question whether news aggregators such as Google News decrease or increase traffic to online news sites. One side of the debate, typically espoused by publishers, views aggregators as substitutes for traditional…

Solving Heterogeneous Estimating Equations with Gradient Forests

Susan Athey, Julie Tibshirani, Stefan Wager
January2017

We propose a method for non-parametric statistical estimation, based on random forests (Breiman, 2001), that can be used to fit any heterogeneous parameter of interest identified as the solution to a set of local estimating equations. Following…

The JOBS Act and Information Uncertainty in IPO Firms

Mary E. Barth, Wayne R. Landsman, Daniel J. Taylor
January2017

This study examines the effect of the Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act (JOBS Act) on information uncertainty in IPO firms. The JOBS Act creates a new category of issuer, the Emerging Growth Company (EGC), and exempts EGCs from several…

Competition and Interdependent Costs in Highway Procurement

Paulo Somaini
2017

I investigate the effect of competition on bidder behavior and procurement cost using highway auction data from Michigan. While a bidder’s distance to a project location is important in explaining participation and bid levels, there is no…

Information, Credit and Organizations

Jose Maria Liberti, Amit Seru, Vikrant Vig
2017

This paper investigates the effect of a change in informational environment of borrowers on the organizational design of bank lending. We use micro-data from a large multinational bank and exploit the sudden introduction of a credit registry, an…

Learning in Repeated Auctions with Budgets: Regret Minimization and Equilibrium

Santiago Balseiro
2017

In online advertising markets, advertisers often purchase ad placements through bidding in repeated auctions based on realized viewer information. We study how budget-constrained advertisers may compete in such sequential auctions in the presence…

Matrix Completion Methods for Causal Panel Data Models

Susan Athey, Mohsen Bayati, Nick Doudchenko, Guido W. Imbens, Khashayar Khosravi
2017

In this paper we develop new methods for estimating causal effects in settings with panel data, where a subset of units are exposed to a treatment during a subset of periods, and the goal is estimating counterfactual (untreated) outcomes for the…

Mostly Exploration-Free Algorithms for Contextual Bandits

Hamsa Bastani, Mohsen Bayati, Khashayar Khosravi
2017

The contextual bandit literature has traditionally focused on algorithms that address the exploration-exploitation tradeoff. In particular, greedy algorithms that exploit current estimates without any exploration may be sub-optimal in…

Rethinking Time: Implications for Well-Being

Cassie Mogilner, Hal E. Hershfield, Jennifer Aaker
2017

How people think about and use their time has critical implications for happiness and well-being. Extant research on time in the consumer behavior literature reveals a predominantly dichotomized perspective of time between the present and future…

Shared Education Affiliations and Workplace Relationships

C. Rider
2017

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